Recent numerical weather model runs for Jeddah indicate highs most likely between 38°C and 39°C on June 17, driven by persistent high pressure, clear skies, and typical northwest winds across the Red Sea coast during peak summer. These conditions align with June climatology, where average daily maxima reach 37–39°C per long-term Saudi National Center for Meteorology records, though short-term variability in wind speed or minor moisture intrusions can shift outcomes by 1–2°C. Market-implied probabilities cluster tightly around the 38–39°C outcomes, reflecting trader evaluation of ensemble forecast spread and historical day-to-day fluctuations rather than any single extreme signal. Updated model guidance and observational data over the next 48 hours will likely refine resolution thresholds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Jeddah on June 17?
39°C 28%
38°C 27%
40°C or higher 23%
37°C 12%
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C
1%
36°C
2%
37°C
12%
38°C
27%
39°C
28%
40°C or higher
23%
39°C 28%
38°C 27%
40°C or higher 23%
37°C 12%
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C
1%
36°C
2%
37°C
12%
38°C
27%
39°C
28%
40°C or higher
23%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 15, 2026, 12:13 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather model runs for Jeddah indicate highs most likely between 38°C and 39°C on June 17, driven by persistent high pressure, clear skies, and typical northwest winds across the Red Sea coast during peak summer. These conditions align with June climatology, where average daily maxima reach 37–39°C per long-term Saudi National Center for Meteorology records, though short-term variability in wind speed or minor moisture intrusions can shift outcomes by 1–2°C. Market-implied probabilities cluster tightly around the 38–39°C outcomes, reflecting trader evaluation of ensemble forecast spread and historical day-to-day fluctuations rather than any single extreme signal. Updated model guidance and observational data over the next 48 hours will likely refine resolution thresholds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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