Recent ensemble forecasts from European models indicate overnight lows in Paris on June 17 centering near 14–16°C amid a transition from high pressure to a mild westerly flow, with limited cloud cover potentially enhancing radiative cooling. This range aligns with mid-June climatology of 12–15°C minima, though variability in boundary-layer moisture and exact frontal timing sustains uncertainty across model runs. The market's near-even distribution among 15–21°C outcomes, alongside elevated weighting on 13°C or below, reflects traders pricing in this dispersion rather than a single deterministic value from current guidance. Updated short-range runs from Météo-France and ECMWF over the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the distribution ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Paris on June 17?
Lowest temperature in Paris on June 17?
13°C or below 36%
15°C 24%
16°C 24%
17°C 23%
NOWE
NOWE
Jun 17, 2026
13°C or below
36%
14°C
17%
15°C
24%
16°C
24%
17°C
23%
18°C
17%
19°C
9%
20°C
8%
21°C
2%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
13°C or below 36%
15°C 24%
16°C 24%
17°C 23%
NOWE
NOWE
Jun 17, 2026
13°C or below
$0 Wol.
36%
14°C
$0 Wol.
17%
15°C
$0 Wol.
24%
16°C
$0 Wol.
24%
17°C
$0 Wol.
23%
18°C
$8 Wol.
17%
19°C
$10 Wol.
9%
20°C
$8 Wol.
8%
21°C
$15 Wol.
2%
22°C
$0 Wol.
<1%
23°C or higher
$0 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from European models indicate overnight lows in Paris on June 17 centering near 14–16°C amid a transition from high pressure to a mild westerly flow, with limited cloud cover potentially enhancing radiative cooling. This range aligns with mid-June climatology of 12–15°C minima, though variability in boundary-layer moisture and exact frontal timing sustains uncertainty across model runs. The market's near-even distribution among 15–21°C outcomes, alongside elevated weighting on 13°C or below, reflects traders pricing in this dispersion rather than a single deterministic value from current guidance. Updated short-range runs from Météo-France and ECMWF over the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the distribution ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Wolumen
$25Data zakończenia
Jun 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from European models indicate overnight lows in Paris on June 17 centering near 14–16°C amid a transition from high pressure to a mild westerly flow, with limited cloud cover potentially enhancing radiative cooling. This range aligns with mid-June climatology of 12–15°C minima, though variability in boundary-layer moisture and exact frontal timing sustains uncertainty across model runs. The market's near-even distribution among 15–21°C outcomes, alongside elevated weighting on 13°C or below, reflects traders pricing in this dispersion rather than a single deterministic value from current guidance. Updated short-range runs from Météo-France and ECMWF over the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the distribution ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$25Data zakończenia
Jun 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from European models indicate overnight lows in Paris on June 17 centering near 14–16°C amid a transition from high pressure to a mild westerly flow, with limited cloud cover potentially enhancing radiative cooling. This range aligns with mid-June climatology of 12–15°C minima, though variability in boundary-layer moisture and exact frontal timing sustains uncertainty across model runs. The market's near-even distribution among 15–21°C outcomes, alongside elevated weighting on 13°C or below, reflects traders pricing in this dispersion rather than a single deterministic value from current guidance. Updated short-range runs from Météo-France and ECMWF over the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the distribution ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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