Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and the Pakistan Meteorological Department indicate daily highs near 31–34°C for Karachi on June 18, driven by strong onshore flow from the Arabian Sea and increasing pre-monsoon cloud cover that limits daytime heating. This coastal moderation, combined with typical June humidity levels above 70%, creates tight clustering around 34–35°C as the most probable outcomes in the market. Ensemble model runs show modest spread due to uncertain steering winds and the timing of any scattered showers, explaining why no single threshold exceeds 40% implied probability. Historical June averages near 34.8°C provide baseline context, while ongoing monitoring of sea-surface temperatures and updated NWP guidance over the next 48 hours will refine the exact peak.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Karachi on June 18?
34°C 39%
35°C 34%
36°C 11%
33°C 9%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
3%
32°C
3%
33°C
9%
34°C
39%
35°C
34%
36°C
11%
37°C
4%
38°C
1%
39°C or higher
<1%
34°C 39%
35°C 34%
36°C 11%
33°C 9%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
3%
32°C
3%
33°C
9%
34°C
39%
35°C
34%
36°C
11%
37°C
4%
38°C
1%
39°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 16, 2026, 1:16 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and the Pakistan Meteorological Department indicate daily highs near 31–34°C for Karachi on June 18, driven by strong onshore flow from the Arabian Sea and increasing pre-monsoon cloud cover that limits daytime heating. This coastal moderation, combined with typical June humidity levels above 70%, creates tight clustering around 34–35°C as the most probable outcomes in the market. Ensemble model runs show modest spread due to uncertain steering winds and the timing of any scattered showers, explaining why no single threshold exceeds 40% implied probability. Historical June averages near 34.8°C provide baseline context, while ongoing monitoring of sea-surface temperatures and updated NWP guidance over the next 48 hours will refine the exact peak.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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