Recent Hong Kong Observatory guidance and multi-model forecasts indicate unsettled conditions with showers and thunderstorms likely on June 18, supporting trader consensus around 28–30 °C as the most probable daily maximum. Seasonal outlooks already flag above-normal temperatures for the June–August period due to long-term warming trends, yet short-term variability from moisture and cloud cover introduces meaningful uncertainty that narrows the odds on extremes. Key variables include steering flow strength, convective timing, and localized urban heat effects, all of which can shift the peak by 1–2 °C. Updated HKO and numerical weather prediction runs over the next 48 hours will provide the clearest signals ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Hong Kong on June 18?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 18?
29°C 35%
28°C 24%
30°C 20%
31°C 9%
NOWE
NOWE
Jun 18, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
8%
28°C
24%
29°C
35%
30°C
20%
31°C
9%
32°C
3%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
29°C 35%
28°C 24%
30°C 20%
31°C 9%
NOWE
NOWE
Jun 18, 2026
24°C or below
$99 Wol.
<1%
25°C
$156 Wol.
<1%
26°C
$470 Wol.
1%
27°C
$214 Wol.
8%
28°C
$310 Wol.
24%
29°C
$276 Wol.
35%
30°C
$247 Wol.
20%
31°C
$328 Wol.
9%
32°C
$135 Wol.
3%
33°C
$147 Wol.
<1%
34°C or higher
$93 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory guidance and multi-model forecasts indicate unsettled conditions with showers and thunderstorms likely on June 18, supporting trader consensus around 28–30 °C as the most probable daily maximum. Seasonal outlooks already flag above-normal temperatures for the June–August period due to long-term warming trends, yet short-term variability from moisture and cloud cover introduces meaningful uncertainty that narrows the odds on extremes. Key variables include steering flow strength, convective timing, and localized urban heat effects, all of which can shift the peak by 1–2 °C. Updated HKO and numerical weather prediction runs over the next 48 hours will provide the clearest signals ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 16, 2026, 12:17 AM ET
Wolumen
$2,431Data zakończenia
Jun 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 16, 2026, 12:17 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory guidance and multi-model forecasts indicate unsettled conditions with showers and thunderstorms likely on June 18, supporting trader consensus around 28–30 °C as the most probable daily maximum. Seasonal outlooks already flag above-normal temperatures for the June–August period due to long-term warming trends, yet short-term variability from moisture and cloud cover introduces meaningful uncertainty that narrows the odds on extremes. Key variables include steering flow strength, convective timing, and localized urban heat effects, all of which can shift the peak by 1–2 °C. Updated HKO and numerical weather prediction runs over the next 48 hours will provide the clearest signals ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$2,431Data zakończenia
Jun 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 16, 2026, 12:17 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Hong Kong Observatory guidance and multi-model forecasts indicate unsettled conditions with showers and thunderstorms likely on June 18, supporting trader consensus around 28–30 °C as the most probable daily maximum. Seasonal outlooks already flag above-normal temperatures for the June–August period due to long-term warming trends, yet short-term variability from moisture and cloud cover introduces meaningful uncertainty that narrows the odds on extremes. Key variables include steering flow strength, convective timing, and localized urban heat effects, all of which can shift the peak by 1–2 °C. Updated HKO and numerical weather prediction runs over the next 48 hours will provide the clearest signals ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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