Forecast models from the Israel Meteorological Service and ECMWF point to a daily maximum near 29–30°C in Tel Aviv on June 18, 2026, under typical early-summer Mediterranean conditions with abundant sunshine, moderate westerly flow, and routine coastal sea-breeze circulation that caps afternoon heating. The tight 47.5%–43.5% split between 29°C and 30°C reflects uncertainty in exact peak timing and the strength of the marine layer, which can shave 1–2°C off inland readings. Historical June averages of 28–30°C at Ben Gurion Airport align with this range, while any delayed breeze or subtle warm-air advection could tip the outcome higher; cooler northerly shifts would favor the lower bracket. Updated model runs and official observations in the next 48 hours will clarify resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on June 18?
29°C 48%
30°C 45%
31°C 6%
28°C 3.8%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
3%
28°C
4%
29°C
48%
30°C
45%
31°C
6%
32°C
2%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
29°C 48%
30°C 45%
31°C 6%
28°C 3.8%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
3%
28°C
4%
29°C
48%
30°C
45%
31°C
6%
32°C
2%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 16, 2026, 1:05 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the Israel Meteorological Service and ECMWF point to a daily maximum near 29–30°C in Tel Aviv on June 18, 2026, under typical early-summer Mediterranean conditions with abundant sunshine, moderate westerly flow, and routine coastal sea-breeze circulation that caps afternoon heating. The tight 47.5%–43.5% split between 29°C and 30°C reflects uncertainty in exact peak timing and the strength of the marine layer, which can shave 1–2°C off inland readings. Historical June averages of 28–30°C at Ben Gurion Airport align with this range, while any delayed breeze or subtle warm-air advection could tip the outcome higher; cooler northerly shifts would favor the lower bracket. Updated model runs and official observations in the next 48 hours will clarify resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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