Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance indicate mostly sunny conditions with light northwest winds and minimal cloud cover for New York City on June 20, supporting afternoon highs near the seasonal average of 81°F at Central Park. Key differentiating factors include subtle variations in boundary-layer mixing depth and any residual moisture from upstream convection, which could add or subtract 2–4°F depending on model resolution. With leading market-implied probabilities clustered tightly between 80–85°F, traders appear to be weighting the spread in short-range guidance from the GFS, ECMWF, and NAM, where small differences in 500-hPa ridge placement produce the observed outcome distribution. Updated model runs expected overnight will likely refine these ranges ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Nova York em 20 de junho?
Temperatura mais alta em Nova York em 20 de junho?
82-83°F 66%
26,7-27,2°C 22%
84-85°F 15%
78-79°F 4.2%
NOVO
$19,186 Vol.
NOVO
$19,186 Vol.
20 jun 2026
75°F ou menos
<1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
4%
26,7-27,2°C
22%
82-83°F
66%
84-85°F
15%
86-87°F
3%
88-89°F
1%
32-32,8°C
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94°F ou mais
<1%
82-83°F 66%
26,7-27,2°C 22%
84-85°F 15%
78-79°F 4.2%
NOVO
$19,186 Vol.
NOVO
$19,186 Vol.
20 jun 2026
75°F ou menos
$1,326 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$2,444 Vol.
1%
78-79°F
$1,836 Vol.
4%
26,7-27,2°C
$2,221 Vol.
22%
82-83°F
$5,579 Vol.
66%
84-85°F
$3,252 Vol.
15%
86-87°F
$1,998 Vol.
3%
88-89°F
$720 Vol.
1%
32-32,8°C
$921 Vol.
<1%
92-93°F
$425 Vol.
<1%
94°F ou mais
$475 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance indicate mostly sunny conditions with light northwest winds and minimal cloud cover for New York City on June 20, supporting afternoon highs near the seasonal average of 81°F at Central Park. Key differentiating factors include subtle variations in boundary-layer mixing depth and any residual moisture from upstream convection, which could add or subtract 2–4°F depending on model resolution. With leading market-implied probabilities clustered tightly between 80–85°F, traders appear to be weighting the spread in short-range guidance from the GFS, ECMWF, and NAM, where small differences in 500-hPa ridge placement produce the observed outcome distribution. Updated model runs expected overnight will likely refine these ranges ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 18, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$19,186Data de Término
20 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 18, 2026, 9:03 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance indicate mostly sunny conditions with light northwest winds and minimal cloud cover for New York City on June 20, supporting afternoon highs near the seasonal average of 81°F at Central Park. Key differentiating factors include subtle variations in boundary-layer mixing depth and any residual moisture from upstream convection, which could add or subtract 2–4°F depending on model resolution. With leading market-implied probabilities clustered tightly between 80–85°F, traders appear to be weighting the spread in short-range guidance from the GFS, ECMWF, and NAM, where small differences in 500-hPa ridge placement produce the observed outcome distribution. Updated model runs expected overnight will likely refine these ranges ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$19,186Data de Término
20 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 18, 2026, 9:03 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance indicate mostly sunny conditions with light northwest winds and minimal cloud cover for New York City on June 20, supporting afternoon highs near the seasonal average of 81°F at Central Park. Key differentiating factors include subtle variations in boundary-layer mixing depth and any residual moisture from upstream convection, which could add or subtract 2–4°F depending on model resolution. With leading market-implied probabilities clustered tightly between 80–85°F, traders appear to be weighting the spread in short-range guidance from the GFS, ECMWF, and NAM, where small differences in 500-hPa ridge placement produce the observed outcome distribution. Updated model runs expected overnight will likely refine these ranges ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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