**Recent forecasts from models like those referenced by the UK Met Office and BBC Weather point to daytime maxima near 29–31°C for Qingdao on June 27, 2026, supporting the market's emphasis on 31°C and 32°C+ bins.** Coastal moderation from the Yellow Sea typically caps extremes, yet late-June insolation, potential weak high-pressure influence, and southerly flow can push readings into the low 30s when skies clear and winds remain light. Historical June averages hover around 24–28°C, with occasional excursions above 30°C even absent strong heatwaves, aligning with the observed pricing that places roughly 80% probability on 30°C or higher. Uncertainty stems from small shifts in cloud cover, sea-breeze timing, or model spread between global ensembles, which can alter the peak by 1–2°C. No major heatwave alerts have been issued, but the current consensus favors the upper end of normal variability. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月27日青岛气温最高？
6月27日青岛气温最高？
32°C或更高 80%
31°C 21%
30°C 1.9%
29°C <1%
最新
$36,915 交易量
最新
$36,915 交易量
2026-06-27
22°C或以下
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
21%
32°C或更高
80%
32°C或更高 80%
31°C 21%
30°C 1.9%
29°C <1%
最新
$36,915 交易量
最新
$36,915 交易量
2026-06-27
22°C或以下
$4,733 交易量
<1%
23°C
$9,391 交易量
<1%
24°C
$1,844 交易量
<1%
25°C
$1,067 交易量
<1%
26°C
$1,108 交易量
<1%
27°C
$2,875 交易量
<1%
28°C
$2,615 交易量
1%
29°C
$2,034 交易量
1%
30°C
$2,419 交易量
2%
31°C
$2,402 交易量
21%
32°C或更高
$6,447 交易量
80%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts from models like those referenced by the UK Met Office and BBC Weather point to daytime maxima near 29–31°C for Qingdao on June 27, 2026, supporting the market's emphasis on 31°C and 32°C+ bins.** Coastal moderation from the Yellow Sea typically caps extremes, yet late-June insolation, potential weak high-pressure influence, and southerly flow can push readings into the low 30s when skies clear and winds remain light. Historical June averages hover around 24–28°C, with occasional excursions above 30°C even absent strong heatwaves, aligning with the observed pricing that places roughly 80% probability on 30°C or higher.
Uncertainty stems from small shifts in cloud cover, sea-breeze timing, or model spread between global ensembles, which can alter the peak by 1–2°C. No major heatwave alerts have been issued, but the current consensus favors the upper end of normal variability. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jun 25, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$36,915结束日期
2026-06-27市场开放时间
Jun 25, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts from models like those referenced by the UK Met Office and BBC Weather point to daytime maxima near 29–31°C for Qingdao on June 27, 2026, supporting the market's emphasis on 31°C and 32°C+ bins.** Coastal moderation from the Yellow Sea typically caps extremes, yet late-June insolation, potential weak high-pressure influence, and southerly flow can push readings into the low 30s when skies clear and winds remain light. Historical June averages hover around 24–28°C, with occasional excursions above 30°C even absent strong heatwaves, aligning with the observed pricing that places roughly 80% probability on 30°C or higher.
Uncertainty stems from small shifts in cloud cover, sea-breeze timing, or model spread between global ensembles, which can alter the peak by 1–2°C. No major heatwave alerts have been issued, but the current consensus favors the upper end of normal variability. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$36,915结束日期
2026-06-27市场开放时间
Jun 25, 2026, 12:03 AM ET**Recent forecasts from models like those referenced by the UK Met Office and BBC Weather point to daytime maxima near 29–31°C for Qingdao on June 27, 2026, supporting the market's emphasis on 31°C and 32°C+ bins.** Coastal moderation from the Yellow Sea typically caps extremes, yet late-June insolation, potential weak high-pressure influence, and southerly flow can push readings into the low 30s when skies clear and winds remain light. Historical June averages hover around 24–28°C, with occasional excursions above 30°C even absent strong heatwaves, aligning with the observed pricing that places roughly 80% probability on 30°C or higher. Uncertainty stems from small shifts in cloud cover, sea-breeze timing, or model spread between global ensembles, which can alter the peak by 1–2°C. No major heatwave alerts have been issued, but the current consensus favors the upper end of normal variability. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题