**Trader consensus heavily favors 21°C as São Paulo’s highest temperature on June 17, 2026, reflecting current observational data and model guidance showing a cool winter day.** Mid-June climatology places typical highs near 22°C, yet 2026 has trended 1–2°C below normal, with recent maxima of 18–19°C and a documented cold outbreak affecting southeastern Brazil. Official monitoring through the 16th and early 17th readings align with a peak near 21°C under stable high-pressure influence and limited insolation. The 99.8% implied probability captures this strong convergence across forecasts, though modest uncertainty remains from possible afternoon warming or station-specific measurement variance that could push the official high to 22°C.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a San Paolo il 17 giugno?
21°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$35,253 Vol.
$35,253 Vol.
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
100%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
21°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$35,253 Vol.
$35,253 Vol.
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
100%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 15, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus heavily favors 21°C as São Paulo’s highest temperature on June 17, 2026, reflecting current observational data and model guidance showing a cool winter day.** Mid-June climatology places typical highs near 22°C, yet 2026 has trended 1–2°C below normal, with recent maxima of 18–19°C and a documented cold outbreak affecting southeastern Brazil. Official monitoring through the 16th and early 17th readings align with a peak near 21°C under stable high-pressure influence and limited insolation. The 99.8% implied probability captures this strong convergence across forecasts, though modest uncertainty remains from possible afternoon warming or station-specific measurement variance that could push the official high to 22°C.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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