Latest short-range forecasts from regional meteorological models indicate a daily maximum temperature in Guangzhou most likely between 28°C and 31°C on June 18, driven by persistent cloud cover, moderate rainfall, and high humidity typical of the early East Asian monsoon season. Afternoon thundery showers are expected to limit solar heating and cap peak readings, while steering patterns associated with the western Pacific subtropical high keep the region under moist southerly flow. This uncertainty in the precise timing and intensity of precipitation explains the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 28–30°C, with lower odds assigned to extremes that would require clearer skies or stronger subsidence. Updated model runs and official guidance from agencies monitoring South China Sea conditions will likely refine these projections ahead of market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Guangzhou il 18 giugno?
La temperatura più alta a Guangzhou il 18 giugno?
29°C 31%
30°C 26%
28°C 24%
31°C 13%
NUOVO
NUOVO
18 giu 2026
23°C o inferiore
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
6%
28°C
24%
29°C
31%
30°C
26%
31°C
13%
32°C
3%
33°C o superiore
2%
29°C 31%
30°C 26%
28°C 24%
31°C 13%
NUOVO
NUOVO
18 giu 2026
23°C o inferiore
$189 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$137 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$152 Vol.
1%
26°C
$835 Vol.
1%
27°C
$869 Vol.
6%
28°C
$883 Vol.
24%
29°C
$1,859 Vol.
31%
30°C
$688 Vol.
26%
31°C
$546 Vol.
13%
32°C
$894 Vol.
3%
33°C o superiore
$378 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest short-range forecasts from regional meteorological models indicate a daily maximum temperature in Guangzhou most likely between 28°C and 31°C on June 18, driven by persistent cloud cover, moderate rainfall, and high humidity typical of the early East Asian monsoon season. Afternoon thundery showers are expected to limit solar heating and cap peak readings, while steering patterns associated with the western Pacific subtropical high keep the region under moist southerly flow. This uncertainty in the precise timing and intensity of precipitation explains the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 28–30°C, with lower odds assigned to extremes that would require clearer skies or stronger subsidence. Updated model runs and official guidance from agencies monitoring South China Sea conditions will likely refine these projections ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$7,430Data di fine
18 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest short-range forecasts from regional meteorological models indicate a daily maximum temperature in Guangzhou most likely between 28°C and 31°C on June 18, driven by persistent cloud cover, moderate rainfall, and high humidity typical of the early East Asian monsoon season. Afternoon thundery showers are expected to limit solar heating and cap peak readings, while steering patterns associated with the western Pacific subtropical high keep the region under moist southerly flow. This uncertainty in the precise timing and intensity of precipitation explains the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 28–30°C, with lower odds assigned to extremes that would require clearer skies or stronger subsidence. Updated model runs and official guidance from agencies monitoring South China Sea conditions will likely refine these projections ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,430Data di fine
18 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest short-range forecasts from regional meteorological models indicate a daily maximum temperature in Guangzhou most likely between 28°C and 31°C on June 18, driven by persistent cloud cover, moderate rainfall, and high humidity typical of the early East Asian monsoon season. Afternoon thundery showers are expected to limit solar heating and cap peak readings, while steering patterns associated with the western Pacific subtropical high keep the region under moist southerly flow. This uncertainty in the precise timing and intensity of precipitation explains the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 28–30°C, with lower odds assigned to extremes that would require clearer skies or stronger subsidence. Updated model runs and official guidance from agencies monitoring South China Sea conditions will likely refine these projections ahead of market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti