Recent Météo-France guidance and ensemble forecasts highlight an intensifying heatwave over northern France, driven by warm-air advection from North Africa under a strong anticyclone, clear skies, and light winds that limit mixing and enhance daytime radiative heating. This setup supports peak temperatures near 36°C in Paris on June 18, with urban heat-island effects potentially adding 1–2°C at central stations. Trader consensus clusters on 35–36°C because model runs show only modest spread in boundary-layer warmth and timing of maximum insolation, while 37°C remains plausible if subsidence strengthens or 34°C if cloud cover increases slightly. Historical June extremes and climatological baselines further anchor expectations around these values as the event nears resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Paris on June 18?
Highest temperature in Paris on June 18?
36°C 35%
35°C 31%
37°C 13%
34°C 10%
NUOVO
$11,547 Vol.
NUOVO
$11,547 Vol.
18 giu 2026
32°C or below
1%
33°C
2%
34°C
10%
35°C
31%
36°C
35%
37°C
13%
38°C
6%
39°C
1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C or higher
<1%
36°C 35%
35°C 31%
37°C 13%
34°C 10%
NUOVO
$11,547 Vol.
NUOVO
$11,547 Vol.
18 giu 2026
32°C or below
$1,124 Vol.
1%
33°C
$622 Vol.
2%
34°C
$908 Vol.
10%
35°C
$1,242 Vol.
31%
36°C
$1,224 Vol.
35%
37°C
$2,300 Vol.
13%
38°C
$2,134 Vol.
6%
39°C
$537 Vol.
1%
40°C
$593 Vol.
<1%
41°C
$326 Vol.
<1%
42°C or higher
$555 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Météo-France guidance and ensemble forecasts highlight an intensifying heatwave over northern France, driven by warm-air advection from North Africa under a strong anticyclone, clear skies, and light winds that limit mixing and enhance daytime radiative heating. This setup supports peak temperatures near 36°C in Paris on June 18, with urban heat-island effects potentially adding 1–2°C at central stations. Trader consensus clusters on 35–36°C because model runs show only modest spread in boundary-layer warmth and timing of maximum insolation, while 37°C remains plausible if subsidence strengthens or 34°C if cloud cover increases slightly. Historical June extremes and climatological baselines further anchor expectations around these values as the event nears resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 16, 2026, 1:18 AM ET
Volume
$11,547Data di fine
18 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 16, 2026, 1:18 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Météo-France guidance and ensemble forecasts highlight an intensifying heatwave over northern France, driven by warm-air advection from North Africa under a strong anticyclone, clear skies, and light winds that limit mixing and enhance daytime radiative heating. This setup supports peak temperatures near 36°C in Paris on June 18, with urban heat-island effects potentially adding 1–2°C at central stations. Trader consensus clusters on 35–36°C because model runs show only modest spread in boundary-layer warmth and timing of maximum insolation, while 37°C remains plausible if subsidence strengthens or 34°C if cloud cover increases slightly. Historical June extremes and climatological baselines further anchor expectations around these values as the event nears resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$11,547Data di fine
18 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 16, 2026, 1:18 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Météo-France guidance and ensemble forecasts highlight an intensifying heatwave over northern France, driven by warm-air advection from North Africa under a strong anticyclone, clear skies, and light winds that limit mixing and enhance daytime radiative heating. This setup supports peak temperatures near 36°C in Paris on June 18, with urban heat-island effects potentially adding 1–2°C at central stations. Trader consensus clusters on 35–36°C because model runs show only modest spread in boundary-layer warmth and timing of maximum insolation, while 37°C remains plausible if subsidence strengthens or 34°C if cloud cover increases slightly. Historical June extremes and climatological baselines further anchor expectations around these values as the event nears resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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