Recent ensemble forecasts from global models including ECMWF and GFS show Moscow's June 18 maximum likely falling between 15–18°C amid a cool, moist air mass and variable cloud cover that limits daytime heating. This tight clustering underpins the market's near-even distribution across 15°C (24%), 16°C (31.5%), and 17°C (25%), reflecting trader assessment of small differences in timing of any showers or breaks in overcast conditions. Historical June averages near 20°C provide context, but current steering patterns favor suppressed highs relative to climatology. Updated model runs and Roshydromet observations over the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria tied to official daily maximum readings.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Moscow on June 18?
Highest temperature in Moscow on June 18?
16°C 32%
17°C 25%
15°C 24%
14°C 10%
NUOVO
NUOVO
18 giu 2026
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
4%
14°C
10%
15°C
24%
16°C
32%
17°C
25%
18°C
7%
19°C
4%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
16°C 32%
17°C 25%
15°C 24%
14°C 10%
NUOVO
NUOVO
18 giu 2026
12°C or below
$33 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$181 Vol.
4%
14°C
$182 Vol.
10%
15°C
$172 Vol.
24%
16°C
$180 Vol.
32%
17°C
$441 Vol.
25%
18°C
$614 Vol.
7%
19°C
$261 Vol.
4%
20°C
$494 Vol.
1%
21°C
$98 Vol.
<1%
22°C or higher
$15 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global models including ECMWF and GFS show Moscow's June 18 maximum likely falling between 15–18°C amid a cool, moist air mass and variable cloud cover that limits daytime heating. This tight clustering underpins the market's near-even distribution across 15°C (24%), 16°C (31.5%), and 17°C (25%), reflecting trader assessment of small differences in timing of any showers or breaks in overcast conditions. Historical June averages near 20°C provide context, but current steering patterns favor suppressed highs relative to climatology. Updated model runs and Roshydromet observations over the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria tied to official daily maximum readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 16, 2026, 1:15 AM ET
Volume
$2,672Data di fine
18 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 16, 2026, 1:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global models including ECMWF and GFS show Moscow's June 18 maximum likely falling between 15–18°C amid a cool, moist air mass and variable cloud cover that limits daytime heating. This tight clustering underpins the market's near-even distribution across 15°C (24%), 16°C (31.5%), and 17°C (25%), reflecting trader assessment of small differences in timing of any showers or breaks in overcast conditions. Historical June averages near 20°C provide context, but current steering patterns favor suppressed highs relative to climatology. Updated model runs and Roshydromet observations over the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria tied to official daily maximum readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,672Data di fine
18 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 16, 2026, 1:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from global models including ECMWF and GFS show Moscow's June 18 maximum likely falling between 15–18°C amid a cool, moist air mass and variable cloud cover that limits daytime heating. This tight clustering underpins the market's near-even distribution across 15°C (24%), 16°C (31.5%), and 17°C (25%), reflecting trader assessment of small differences in timing of any showers or breaks in overcast conditions. Historical June averages near 20°C provide context, but current steering patterns favor suppressed highs relative to climatology. Updated model runs and Roshydromet observations over the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria tied to official daily maximum readings.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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