Forecast models from major agencies indicate a strong Mediterranean anticyclone positioned over northern Italy, delivering clear skies, high solar insolation, and light winds that favor afternoon maxima near 33–34 °C in Milan on June 18. Recent ECMWF and GFS runs show subtle differences in ridge strength and boundary-layer mixing that differentiate the leading outcomes: stronger subsidence and drier air could push readings to 35 °C, while modest Atlantic moisture advection or increased cloud cover would cap them at 33 °C. Milan’s Po Valley setting amplifies daytime heating via urban heat island effects, yet climatological June averages of 26–28 °C underscore the current anomaly. Traders are weighting these near-term model consensus shifts, with resolution hinging on the final 24-hour observational verification from official Italian meteorological services.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Milan on June 18?
33°C 39%
34°C 36%
35°C 14%
32°C 10%
30°C or below
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
10%
33°C
39%
34°C
36%
35°C
14%
36°C
3%
37°C
4%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
33°C 39%
34°C 36%
35°C 14%
32°C 10%
30°C or below
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
10%
33°C
39%
34°C
36%
35°C
14%
36°C
3%
37°C
4%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 16, 2026, 1:08 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from major agencies indicate a strong Mediterranean anticyclone positioned over northern Italy, delivering clear skies, high solar insolation, and light winds that favor afternoon maxima near 33–34 °C in Milan on June 18. Recent ECMWF and GFS runs show subtle differences in ridge strength and boundary-layer mixing that differentiate the leading outcomes: stronger subsidence and drier air could push readings to 35 °C, while modest Atlantic moisture advection or increased cloud cover would cap them at 33 °C. Milan’s Po Valley setting amplifies daytime heating via urban heat island effects, yet climatological June averages of 26–28 °C underscore the current anomaly. Traders are weighting these near-term model consensus shifts, with resolution hinging on the final 24-hour observational verification from official Italian meteorological services.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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