**Shanghai's highest temperature on June 16, 2026, is expected to fall in the mid-20s°C range amid the East Asian monsoon’s plum rain (Meiyu) season.** Persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered showers limit daytime heating by reducing incoming solar radiation and promoting evaporative cooling, which keeps maxima well below typical late-spring peaks. Official extended forecasts from sources such as timeanddate.com currently project a high near 25°C (77°F) under overcast skies with light winds, while other guidance (e.g., Met Office) edges slightly higher toward 28°C depending on the exact timing and coverage of any showers. The near-even split between the 26°C (31.0%) and 27°C (31.5%) market outcomes reflects genuine short-range forecast uncertainty. Small differences in cloud thickness, rainfall timing, or boundary-layer moisture can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical June climatology for Shanghai shows average highs around 27–28°C, but the active monsoon trough this week has suppressed readings closer to 24–26°C in recent days. Updated model runs and official briefings from agencies monitoring regional pressure patterns will be the key catalysts that could tighten or shift these probabilities before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Shanghai on June 16?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on June 16?
27°C 32%
26°C 31%
25°C 14%
28°C 11.3%
NUOVO
NUOVO
16 giu 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
9%
25°C
14%
26°C
31%
27°C
32%
28°C
11%
29°C
4%
30°C or higher
1%
27°C 32%
26°C 31%
25°C 14%
28°C 11.3%
NUOVO
NUOVO
16 giu 2026
20°C or below
$122 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$18 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$77 Vol.
1%
23°C
$371 Vol.
1%
24°C
$157 Vol.
9%
25°C
$252 Vol.
14%
26°C
$63 Vol.
31%
27°C
$172 Vol.
32%
28°C
$302 Vol.
11%
29°C
$59 Vol.
4%
30°C or higher
$245 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Shanghai's highest temperature on June 16, 2026, is expected to fall in the mid-20s°C range amid the East Asian monsoon’s plum rain (Meiyu) season.** Persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered showers limit daytime heating by reducing incoming solar radiation and promoting evaporative cooling, which keeps maxima well below typical late-spring peaks. Official extended forecasts from sources such as timeanddate.com currently project a high near 25°C (77°F) under overcast skies with light winds, while other guidance (e.g., Met Office) edges slightly higher toward 28°C depending on the exact timing and coverage of any showers.
The near-even split between the 26°C (31.0%) and 27°C (31.5%) market outcomes reflects genuine short-range forecast uncertainty. Small differences in cloud thickness, rainfall timing, or boundary-layer moisture can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical June climatology for Shanghai shows average highs around 27–28°C, but the active monsoon trough this week has suppressed readings closer to 24–26°C in recent days. Updated model runs and official briefings from agencies monitoring regional pressure patterns will be the key catalysts that could tighten or shift these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$1,827Data di fine
16 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Shanghai's highest temperature on June 16, 2026, is expected to fall in the mid-20s°C range amid the East Asian monsoon’s plum rain (Meiyu) season.** Persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered showers limit daytime heating by reducing incoming solar radiation and promoting evaporative cooling, which keeps maxima well below typical late-spring peaks. Official extended forecasts from sources such as timeanddate.com currently project a high near 25°C (77°F) under overcast skies with light winds, while other guidance (e.g., Met Office) edges slightly higher toward 28°C depending on the exact timing and coverage of any showers.
The near-even split between the 26°C (31.0%) and 27°C (31.5%) market outcomes reflects genuine short-range forecast uncertainty. Small differences in cloud thickness, rainfall timing, or boundary-layer moisture can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical June climatology for Shanghai shows average highs around 27–28°C, but the active monsoon trough this week has suppressed readings closer to 24–26°C in recent days. Updated model runs and official briefings from agencies monitoring regional pressure patterns will be the key catalysts that could tighten or shift these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,827Data di fine
16 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Shanghai's highest temperature on June 16, 2026, is expected to fall in the mid-20s°C range amid the East Asian monsoon’s plum rain (Meiyu) season.** Persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered showers limit daytime heating by reducing incoming solar radiation and promoting evaporative cooling, which keeps maxima well below typical late-spring peaks. Official extended forecasts from sources such as timeanddate.com currently project a high near 25°C (77°F) under overcast skies with light winds, while other guidance (e.g., Met Office) edges slightly higher toward 28°C depending on the exact timing and coverage of any showers. The near-even split between the 26°C (31.0%) and 27°C (31.5%) market outcomes reflects genuine short-range forecast uncertainty. Small differences in cloud thickness, rainfall timing, or boundary-layer moisture can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical June climatology for Shanghai shows average highs around 27–28°C, but the active monsoon trough this week has suppressed readings closer to 24–26°C in recent days. Updated model runs and official briefings from agencies monitoring regional pressure patterns will be the key catalysts that could tighten or shift these probabilities before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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