**Forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) and international models point to partly cloudy conditions on June 16, 2026, supporting maximum temperatures clustered around 26–27 °C in central Tokyo.** Recent heavy rain associated with earlier systems has left elevated soil moisture and cloud cover that limits daytime heating, keeping highs near the long-term June average of ~26 °C while preventing stronger warming. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread driven by uncertainty in afternoon cloud breaks and boundary-layer mixing; clearer skies could push readings toward 27–28 °C, whereas lingering low clouds or light showers would cap the peak closer to 25–26 °C. Tokyo’s urban heat-island effect and the official observation site’s exposure further narrow the plausible range, explaining why the two leading market outcomes (26 °C at 36 %, 27 °C at 28.5 %) remain closely matched with meaningful probability still attached to 25 °C. Updated JMA and global model runs over the next 24–48 hours will be the key catalysts for any shift in trader positioning ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Tokyo on June 16?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on June 16?
26°C 36%
27°C 29%
25°C 22%
28°C 11%
NUOVO
NUOVO
16 giu 2026
21°C o inferiore
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
5%
25°C
22%
26°C
36%
27°C
29%
28°C
11%
29°C
2%
30°C
1%
31°C o superiore
1%
26°C 36%
27°C 29%
25°C 22%
28°C 11%
NUOVO
NUOVO
16 giu 2026
21°C o inferiore
$678 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$68 Vol.
1%
23°C
$396 Vol.
1%
24°C
$63 Vol.
5%
25°C
$88 Vol.
22%
26°C
$75 Vol.
36%
27°C
$33 Vol.
29%
28°C
$146 Vol.
11%
29°C
$5 Vol.
2%
30°C
$40 Vol.
1%
31°C o superiore
$447 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) and international models point to partly cloudy conditions on June 16, 2026, supporting maximum temperatures clustered around 26–27 °C in central Tokyo.** Recent heavy rain associated with earlier systems has left elevated soil moisture and cloud cover that limits daytime heating, keeping highs near the long-term June average of ~26 °C while preventing stronger warming.
Ensemble guidance shows modest spread driven by uncertainty in afternoon cloud breaks and boundary-layer mixing; clearer skies could push readings toward 27–28 °C, whereas lingering low clouds or light showers would cap the peak closer to 25–26 °C. Tokyo’s urban heat-island effect and the official observation site’s exposure further narrow the plausible range, explaining why the two leading market outcomes (26 °C at 36 %, 27 °C at 28.5 %) remain closely matched with meaningful probability still attached to 25 °C. Updated JMA and global model runs over the next 24–48 hours will be the key catalysts for any shift in trader positioning ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$2,012Data di fine
16 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) and international models point to partly cloudy conditions on June 16, 2026, supporting maximum temperatures clustered around 26–27 °C in central Tokyo.** Recent heavy rain associated with earlier systems has left elevated soil moisture and cloud cover that limits daytime heating, keeping highs near the long-term June average of ~26 °C while preventing stronger warming.
Ensemble guidance shows modest spread driven by uncertainty in afternoon cloud breaks and boundary-layer mixing; clearer skies could push readings toward 27–28 °C, whereas lingering low clouds or light showers would cap the peak closer to 25–26 °C. Tokyo’s urban heat-island effect and the official observation site’s exposure further narrow the plausible range, explaining why the two leading market outcomes (26 °C at 36 %, 27 °C at 28.5 %) remain closely matched with meaningful probability still attached to 25 °C. Updated JMA and global model runs over the next 24–48 hours will be the key catalysts for any shift in trader positioning ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,012Data di fine
16 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) and international models point to partly cloudy conditions on June 16, 2026, supporting maximum temperatures clustered around 26–27 °C in central Tokyo.** Recent heavy rain associated with earlier systems has left elevated soil moisture and cloud cover that limits daytime heating, keeping highs near the long-term June average of ~26 °C while preventing stronger warming. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread driven by uncertainty in afternoon cloud breaks and boundary-layer mixing; clearer skies could push readings toward 27–28 °C, whereas lingering low clouds or light showers would cap the peak closer to 25–26 °C. Tokyo’s urban heat-island effect and the official observation site’s exposure further narrow the plausible range, explaining why the two leading market outcomes (26 °C at 36 %, 27 °C at 28.5 %) remain closely matched with meaningful probability still attached to 25 °C. Updated JMA and global model runs over the next 24–48 hours will be the key catalysts for any shift in trader positioning ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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