Official forecasts from the Met Office indicate a maximum of 27°C for London on June 18 under settling high pressure, with sunny intervals, light winds, and minimal cloud cover supporting efficient daytime heating. Ensemble model outputs show a narrow spread centered on 27–28°C, reflecting minor uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and exact insolation levels rather than major synoptic shifts. Historical June averages near 20–22°C provide context for the above-normal warmth, while the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around these two outcomes underscores traders’ focus on resolution criteria tied to official observations at standard sites. Updated model runs overnight could refine the peak if radiative cooling or advection patterns adjust.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in London on June 18?
Highest temperature in London on June 18?
28°C 37%
27°C 30%
29°C 22%
26°C 7%
NUOVO
$10,748 Vol.
NUOVO
$10,748 Vol.
18 giu 2026
22°C o inferiore
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
7%
27°C
30%
28°C
37%
29°C
22%
30°C
4%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
28°C 37%
27°C 30%
29°C 22%
26°C 7%
NUOVO
$10,748 Vol.
NUOVO
$10,748 Vol.
18 giu 2026
22°C o inferiore
$657 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$328 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$872 Vol.
1%
25°C
$1,151 Vol.
2%
26°C
$1,161 Vol.
7%
27°C
$1,635 Vol.
30%
28°C
$1,192 Vol.
37%
29°C
$1,200 Vol.
22%
30°C
$842 Vol.
4%
31°C
$1,097 Vol.
1%
32°C or higher
$637 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Met Office indicate a maximum of 27°C for London on June 18 under settling high pressure, with sunny intervals, light winds, and minimal cloud cover supporting efficient daytime heating. Ensemble model outputs show a narrow spread centered on 27–28°C, reflecting minor uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and exact insolation levels rather than major synoptic shifts. Historical June averages near 20–22°C provide context for the above-normal warmth, while the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around these two outcomes underscores traders’ focus on resolution criteria tied to official observations at standard sites. Updated model runs overnight could refine the peak if radiative cooling or advection patterns adjust.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 16, 2026, 1:05 AM ET
Volume
$10,748Data di fine
18 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 16, 2026, 1:05 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Met Office indicate a maximum of 27°C for London on June 18 under settling high pressure, with sunny intervals, light winds, and minimal cloud cover supporting efficient daytime heating. Ensemble model outputs show a narrow spread centered on 27–28°C, reflecting minor uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and exact insolation levels rather than major synoptic shifts. Historical June averages near 20–22°C provide context for the above-normal warmth, while the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around these two outcomes underscores traders’ focus on resolution criteria tied to official observations at standard sites. Updated model runs overnight could refine the peak if radiative cooling or advection patterns adjust.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$10,748Data di fine
18 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 16, 2026, 1:05 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Met Office indicate a maximum of 27°C for London on June 18 under settling high pressure, with sunny intervals, light winds, and minimal cloud cover supporting efficient daytime heating. Ensemble model outputs show a narrow spread centered on 27–28°C, reflecting minor uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and exact insolation levels rather than major synoptic shifts. Historical June averages near 20–22°C provide context for the above-normal warmth, while the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around these two outcomes underscores traders’ focus on resolution criteria tied to official observations at standard sites. Updated model runs overnight could refine the peak if radiative cooling or advection patterns adjust.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti