Current numerical weather prediction models and MetService guidance indicate a maximum temperature near 15–16°C for Wellington on June 21, driven by a mild northerly flow advecting warmer air over the region amid typical wintertime westerly influences and variable cloud cover. Historical June maxima average 12–13°C, so any positive anomaly depends on limited mixing from Cook Strait winds and reduced radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. The close market spread between 15°C and 17°C reflects minor ensemble disagreements on frontal timing and wind speed, with 16–17°C outcomes favored if northerlies strengthen as some runs suggest. Updated model cycles and official briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus élevée à Wellington le 21 juin ?
Température la plus élevée à Wellington le 21 juin ?
16°C 59%
17°C 34%
15°C 6%
18°C 3.0%
NOUVEAU
$22,224 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$22,224 Vol.
21 juin 2026
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
6%
16°C
59%
17°C
34%
18°C
3%
19°C
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
16°C 59%
17°C 34%
15°C 6%
18°C 3.0%
NOUVEAU
$22,224 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$22,224 Vol.
21 juin 2026
11°C or below
$238 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$449 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$388 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$2,161 Vol.
1%
15°C
$2,828 Vol.
6%
16°C
$3,037 Vol.
59%
17°C
$2,610 Vol.
34%
18°C
$3,814 Vol.
3%
19°C
$879 Vol.
1%
20°C
$387 Vol.
<1%
21°C or higher
$5,433 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction models and MetService guidance indicate a maximum temperature near 15–16°C for Wellington on June 21, driven by a mild northerly flow advecting warmer air over the region amid typical wintertime westerly influences and variable cloud cover. Historical June maxima average 12–13°C, so any positive anomaly depends on limited mixing from Cook Strait winds and reduced radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. The close market spread between 15°C and 17°C reflects minor ensemble disagreements on frontal timing and wind speed, with 16–17°C outcomes favored if northerlies strengthen as some runs suggest. Updated model cycles and official briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 19, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$22,224Date de fin
21 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 19, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction models and MetService guidance indicate a maximum temperature near 15–16°C for Wellington on June 21, driven by a mild northerly flow advecting warmer air over the region amid typical wintertime westerly influences and variable cloud cover. Historical June maxima average 12–13°C, so any positive anomaly depends on limited mixing from Cook Strait winds and reduced radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. The close market spread between 15°C and 17°C reflects minor ensemble disagreements on frontal timing and wind speed, with 16–17°C outcomes favored if northerlies strengthen as some runs suggest. Updated model cycles and official briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$22,224Date de fin
21 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 19, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current numerical weather prediction models and MetService guidance indicate a maximum temperature near 15–16°C for Wellington on June 21, driven by a mild northerly flow advecting warmer air over the region amid typical wintertime westerly influences and variable cloud cover. Historical June maxima average 12–13°C, so any positive anomaly depends on limited mixing from Cook Strait winds and reduced radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. The close market spread between 15°C and 17°C reflects minor ensemble disagreements on frontal timing and wind speed, with 16–17°C outcomes favored if northerlies strengthen as some runs suggest. Updated model cycles and official briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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