The ongoing European heatwave, with Météo-France and other models showing Paris overnight lows near 23–24°C on June 22 amid daytime highs approaching 39°C, drives the market's concentration around those outcomes. This reflects strong short-term forecast consensus from agencies like NOAA and ECMWF ensembles, though minor shifts in cloud cover, wind patterns, or urban heat-island effects could alter the minimum by 1–2°C. Compared to the long-term June average low of roughly 13–14°C, current conditions represent a significant positive anomaly tied to the solstice timing and persistent high pressure. Traders weigh the narrow resolution window against typical model spread for nocturnal temperatures, sustaining the dispersed probabilities across 21–25°C bins.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Paris le 22 juin ?
La température la plus basse à Paris le 22 juin ?
23°C 32%
24°C 23%
22°C 21%
21°C ou moins 19%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
22 juin 2026
21°C ou moins
19%
22°C
21%
23°C
32%
24°C
23%
25°C
11%
26°C
2%
27°C
3%
28°C
1%
29°C
5%
30°C
<1%
31°C ou plus
<1%
23°C 32%
24°C 23%
22°C 21%
21°C ou moins 19%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
22 juin 2026
21°C ou moins
$0 Vol.
19%
22°C
$0 Vol.
21%
23°C
$0 Vol.
32%
24°C
$0 Vol.
23%
25°C
$0 Vol.
11%
26°C
$214 Vol.
2%
27°C
$51 Vol.
3%
28°C
$51 Vol.
1%
29°C
$255 Vol.
5%
30°C
$140 Vol.
<1%
31°C ou plus
$40 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The ongoing European heatwave, with Météo-France and other models showing Paris overnight lows near 23–24°C on June 22 amid daytime highs approaching 39°C, drives the market's concentration around those outcomes. This reflects strong short-term forecast consensus from agencies like NOAA and ECMWF ensembles, though minor shifts in cloud cover, wind patterns, or urban heat-island effects could alter the minimum by 1–2°C. Compared to the long-term June average low of roughly 13–14°C, current conditions represent a significant positive anomaly tied to the solstice timing and persistent high pressure. Traders weigh the narrow resolution window against typical model spread for nocturnal temperatures, sustaining the dispersed probabilities across 21–25°C bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 20, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$751Date de fin
22 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 20, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The ongoing European heatwave, with Météo-France and other models showing Paris overnight lows near 23–24°C on June 22 amid daytime highs approaching 39°C, drives the market's concentration around those outcomes. This reflects strong short-term forecast consensus from agencies like NOAA and ECMWF ensembles, though minor shifts in cloud cover, wind patterns, or urban heat-island effects could alter the minimum by 1–2°C. Compared to the long-term June average low of roughly 13–14°C, current conditions represent a significant positive anomaly tied to the solstice timing and persistent high pressure. Traders weigh the narrow resolution window against typical model spread for nocturnal temperatures, sustaining the dispersed probabilities across 21–25°C bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$751Date de fin
22 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 20, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...The ongoing European heatwave, with Météo-France and other models showing Paris overnight lows near 23–24°C on June 22 amid daytime highs approaching 39°C, drives the market's concentration around those outcomes. This reflects strong short-term forecast consensus from agencies like NOAA and ECMWF ensembles, though minor shifts in cloud cover, wind patterns, or urban heat-island effects could alter the minimum by 1–2°C. Compared to the long-term June average low of roughly 13–14°C, current conditions represent a significant positive anomaly tied to the solstice timing and persistent high pressure. Traders weigh the narrow resolution window against typical model spread for nocturnal temperatures, sustaining the dispersed probabilities across 21–25°C bins.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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