Recent forecasts from MetService and other models show Wellington under northerly winds that could push the daily maximum to 17°C on May 21, though persistent cloud cover may cap readings near 16°C instead. This narrow spread explains the tight market split, with traders weighing the strength of the warm advection against limited solar heating. Historical May averages sit around 14–15°C, so any confirmation of above-normal conditions from updated model runs or official observations would favor the higher outcome, while stronger southerly shifts or increased rainfall would reinforce the lower one.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Wellington on May 21?
Highest temperature in Wellington on May 21?
17°C 58%
16°C 42%
19°C 1.1%
18°C 1.0%
NOWE
$46,056 Wol.
NOWE
$46,056 Wol.
May 21, 2026
16°C
42%
17°C
47%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C or higher
<1%
17°C 58%
16°C 42%
19°C 1.1%
18°C 1.0%
NOWE
$46,056 Wol.
NOWE
$46,056 Wol.
May 21, 2026
16°C
$2,227 Wol.
42%
17°C
$2,103 Wol.
47%
18°C
$1,939 Wol.
1%
19°C
$1,828 Wol.
1%
20°C or higher
$934 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from MetService and other models show Wellington under northerly winds that could push the daily maximum to 17°C on May 21, though persistent cloud cover may cap readings near 16°C instead. This narrow spread explains the tight market split, with traders weighing the strength of the warm advection against limited solar heating. Historical May averages sit around 14–15°C, so any confirmation of above-normal conditions from updated model runs or official observations would favor the higher outcome, while stronger southerly shifts or increased rainfall would reinforce the lower one.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 19, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Wolumen
$46,056Data zakończenia
May 21, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 19, 2026, 12:07 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from MetService and other models show Wellington under northerly winds that could push the daily maximum to 17°C on May 21, though persistent cloud cover may cap readings near 16°C instead. This narrow spread explains the tight market split, with traders weighing the strength of the warm advection against limited solar heating. Historical May averages sit around 14–15°C, so any confirmation of above-normal conditions from updated model runs or official observations would favor the higher outcome, while stronger southerly shifts or increased rainfall would reinforce the lower one.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$46,056Data zakończenia
May 21, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 19, 2026, 12:07 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from MetService and other models show Wellington under northerly winds that could push the daily maximum to 17°C on May 21, though persistent cloud cover may cap readings near 16°C instead. This narrow spread explains the tight market split, with traders weighing the strength of the warm advection against limited solar heating. Historical May averages sit around 14–15°C, so any confirmation of above-normal conditions from updated model runs or official observations would favor the higher outcome, while stronger southerly shifts or increased rainfall would reinforce the lower one.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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