Official meteorological observations from the UK Met Office confirmed a daytime maximum of precisely 20°C in central London on May 20, driving the market-implied probability for that outcome to near-certainty. Moderate westerly winds and partly cloudy conditions limited further warming, consistent with short-range forecast models that had converged on a narrow 19–21°C range the prior day. This reading sits slightly above the May climatological average of around 18°C but remains well within historical variability for the season. Final resolution depends on verified station data, though adjustments exceeding 0.5°C are uncommon given the dense observational network.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in London on May 20?
20°C 100.0%
17°C <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$135,447 Wol.
$135,447 Wol.
17°C
<1%
20°C
100%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
20°C 100.0%
17°C <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$135,447 Wol.
$135,447 Wol.
17°C
<1%
20°C
100%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 18, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Official meteorological observations from the UK Met Office confirmed a daytime maximum of precisely 20°C in central London on May 20, driving the market-implied probability for that outcome to near-certainty. Moderate westerly winds and partly cloudy conditions limited further warming, consistent with short-range forecast models that had converged on a narrow 19–21°C range the prior day. This reading sits slightly above the May climatological average of around 18°C but remains well within historical variability for the season. Final resolution depends on verified station data, though adjustments exceeding 0.5°C are uncommon given the dense observational network.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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