Recent Met Office and ECMWF ensemble guidance points to a narrow temperature range for London on May 22, with peak values most likely between 26–28 °C under a building ridge of high pressure. This setup allows moderate southerly flow and increasing solar insolation, yet scattered cloud and a light northeasterly breeze will limit extreme heating and keep the distribution tightly clustered. Historical May maxima near 25 °C provide a useful baseline, while the current model consensus favors the market’s concentration on 27 °C as the single most probable outcome. Traders are weighting short-range stability and resolution criteria at London City Airport, where even modest shifts in cloud cover or wind direction could nudge the verified high by 1–2 °C before official confirmation.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in London on May 22?
Highest temperature in London on May 22?
27°C 36%
28°C 27%
26°C 22%
25°C 7.4%
NOWE
$15,098 Wol.
NOWE
$15,098 Wol.
May 22, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
4%
25°C
7%
26°C
22%
27°C
36%
28°C
27%
29°C
5%
30°C or higher
2%
27°C 36%
28°C 27%
26°C 22%
25°C 7.4%
NOWE
$15,098 Wol.
NOWE
$15,098 Wol.
May 22, 2026
20°C or below
$861 Wol.
<1%
21°C
$2,365 Wol.
1%
22°C
$2,063 Wol.
1%
23°C
$752 Wol.
1%
24°C
$953 Wol.
4%
25°C
$964 Wol.
7%
26°C
$1,243 Wol.
22%
27°C
$1,394 Wol.
36%
28°C
$1,697 Wol.
27%
29°C
$1,091 Wol.
5%
30°C or higher
$1,728 Wol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Met Office and ECMWF ensemble guidance points to a narrow temperature range for London on May 22, with peak values most likely between 26–28 °C under a building ridge of high pressure. This setup allows moderate southerly flow and increasing solar insolation, yet scattered cloud and a light northeasterly breeze will limit extreme heating and keep the distribution tightly clustered. Historical May maxima near 25 °C provide a useful baseline, while the current model consensus favors the market’s concentration on 27 °C as the single most probable outcome. Traders are weighting short-range stability and resolution criteria at London City Airport, where even modest shifts in cloud cover or wind direction could nudge the verified high by 1–2 °C before official confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 20, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Wolumen
$15,098Data zakończenia
May 22, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 20, 2026, 12:05 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Met Office and ECMWF ensemble guidance points to a narrow temperature range for London on May 22, with peak values most likely between 26–28 °C under a building ridge of high pressure. This setup allows moderate southerly flow and increasing solar insolation, yet scattered cloud and a light northeasterly breeze will limit extreme heating and keep the distribution tightly clustered. Historical May maxima near 25 °C provide a useful baseline, while the current model consensus favors the market’s concentration on 27 °C as the single most probable outcome. Traders are weighting short-range stability and resolution criteria at London City Airport, where even modest shifts in cloud cover or wind direction could nudge the verified high by 1–2 °C before official confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$15,098Data zakończenia
May 22, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 20, 2026, 12:05 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office and ECMWF ensemble guidance points to a narrow temperature range for London on May 22, with peak values most likely between 26–28 °C under a building ridge of high pressure. This setup allows moderate southerly flow and increasing solar insolation, yet scattered cloud and a light northeasterly breeze will limit extreme heating and keep the distribution tightly clustered. Historical May maxima near 25 °C provide a useful baseline, while the current model consensus favors the market’s concentration on 27 °C as the single most probable outcome. Traders are weighting short-range stability and resolution criteria at London City Airport, where even modest shifts in cloud cover or wind direction could nudge the verified high by 1–2 °C before official confirmation.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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