Recent Met Office guidance points to a minimum of 16°C overnight into June 30 for London, following a period of hot weather and shifting to more moderate conditions with lighter winds. Ensemble forecast spreads from global and regional models introduce uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling rates, influenced by variable cloud cover, humidity levels, and urban heat retention, which can keep readings 1–2°C above rural baselines. This produces tight market-implied odds clustered around 15–19°C, as traders weigh the balance between clearer-sky scenarios favoring lower values and residual warmth or breeze limiting the drop. Updated model runs and any Met Office briefing revisions ahead of the date remain the key near-term catalysts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Londres le 30 juin ?
La température la plus basse à Londres le 30 juin ?
17°C 27%
16°C 22%
18°C 21%
14°C ou moins 20%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
30 juin 2026
14°C ou moins
20%
15°C
8%
16°C
22%
17°C
25%
18°C
21%
19°C
9%
20°C
7%
21°C
2%
22°C
5%
23°C
3%
24°C ou plus
4%
17°C 27%
16°C 22%
18°C 21%
14°C ou moins 20%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
30 juin 2026
14°C ou moins
$0 Vol.
20%
15°C
$0 Vol.
8%
16°C
$0 Vol.
22%
17°C
$13 Vol.
25%
18°C
$0 Vol.
21%
19°C
$0 Vol.
9%
20°C
$0 Vol.
7%
21°C
$11 Vol.
2%
22°C
$48 Vol.
5%
23°C
$48 Vol.
3%
24°C ou plus
$43 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance points to a minimum of 16°C overnight into June 30 for London, following a period of hot weather and shifting to more moderate conditions with lighter winds. Ensemble forecast spreads from global and regional models introduce uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling rates, influenced by variable cloud cover, humidity levels, and urban heat retention, which can keep readings 1–2°C above rural baselines. This produces tight market-implied odds clustered around 15–19°C, as traders weigh the balance between clearer-sky scenarios favoring lower values and residual warmth or breeze limiting the drop. Updated model runs and any Met Office briefing revisions ahead of the date remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$163Date de fin
30 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance points to a minimum of 16°C overnight into June 30 for London, following a period of hot weather and shifting to more moderate conditions with lighter winds. Ensemble forecast spreads from global and regional models introduce uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling rates, influenced by variable cloud cover, humidity levels, and urban heat retention, which can keep readings 1–2°C above rural baselines. This produces tight market-implied odds clustered around 15–19°C, as traders weigh the balance between clearer-sky scenarios favoring lower values and residual warmth or breeze limiting the drop. Updated model runs and any Met Office briefing revisions ahead of the date remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$163Date de fin
30 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office guidance points to a minimum of 16°C overnight into June 30 for London, following a period of hot weather and shifting to more moderate conditions with lighter winds. Ensemble forecast spreads from global and regional models introduce uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling rates, influenced by variable cloud cover, humidity levels, and urban heat retention, which can keep readings 1–2°C above rural baselines. This produces tight market-implied odds clustered around 15–19°C, as traders weigh the balance between clearer-sky scenarios favoring lower values and residual warmth or breeze limiting the drop. Updated model runs and any Met Office briefing revisions ahead of the date remain the key near-term catalysts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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