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icon for La température la plus élevée à Austin le 27 juin ?

La température la plus élevée à Austin le 27 juin ?

icon for La température la plus élevée à Austin le 27 juin ?

La température la plus élevée à Austin le 27 juin ?

94-95°F 38%

96-97°F 28%

92-93°F 25%

98-99 °F 11%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

$15,718 Vol.

94-95°F 38%

96-97°F 28%

92-93°F 25%

98-99 °F 11%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

$15,718 Vol.

91°F ou moins

$3,051 Vol.

3%

92-93°F

$3,867 Vol.

25%

94-95°F

$1,344 Vol.

38%

96-97°F

$1,337 Vol.

28%

98-99 °F

$1,833 Vol.

11%

100-101°F

$636 Vol.

1%

102-103°F

$843 Vol.

1%

104-105°F

$2,125 Vol.

<1%

106-107°F

$225 Vol.

<1%

108-109°F

$241 Vol.

<1%

110°F ou plus

$215 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and supporting models points to a seasonably hot day with highs in the mid-to-upper 90s under partly cloudy skies and southerly flow.** This setup favors strong daytime heating through clear periods, with peak temperatures likely occurring in the afternoon as insolation peaks and boundary-layer mixing occurs. Recent NWS outlooks describe a dry, stable pattern through early July with zero precipitation expected, keeping conditions favorable for temperatures near or slightly above the June climatological average of 93–96 °F. The tight spread between the leading 94–95 °F (32.5 %) and 96–97 °F (37.5 %) buckets reflects genuine model uncertainty in the exact degree of afternoon clearing versus any residual morning cloud cover or subtle changes in 850 mb temperatures. Minor variations in wind speed, dew-point advection, or the timing of any thin cirrus could shift the maximum by 1–2 °F either way. Higher bins remain low-probability because current guidance shows no strong ridge amplification or downslope warming that would push readings into the triple digits. Traders are therefore weighting the most recent model runs and official NWS point forecasts most heavily as the market nears resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Jun '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$15,718
Date de fin
27 juin 2026
Marché ouvert
Jun 25, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and supporting models points to a seasonably hot day with highs in the mid-to-upper 90s under partly cloudy skies and southerly flow.** This setup favors strong daytime heating through clear periods, with peak temperatures likely occurring in the afternoon as insolation peaks and boundary-layer mixing occurs. Recent NWS outlooks describe a dry, stable pattern through early July with zero precipitation expected, keeping conditions favorable for temperatures near or slightly above the June climatological average of 93–96 °F. The tight spread between the leading 94–95 °F (32.5 %) and 96–97 °F (37.5 %) buckets reflects genuine model uncertainty in the exact degree of afternoon clearing versus any residual morning cloud cover or subtle changes in 850 mb temperatures. Minor variations in wind speed, dew-point advection, or the timing of any thin cirrus could shift the maximum by 1–2 °F either way. Higher bins remain low-probability because current guidance shows no strong ridge amplification or downslope warming that would push readings into the triple digits. Traders are therefore weighting the most recent model runs and official NWS point forecasts most heavily as the market nears resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Jun '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$15,718
Date de fin
27 juin 2026
Marché ouvert
Jun 25, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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Questions fréquentes

« La température la plus élevée à Austin le 27 juin ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 11 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « 94-95°F » à 38%, suivi de « 96-97°F » à 28%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 38¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 38% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « La température la plus élevée à Austin le 27 juin ? » a généré $15.7K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Jun 25, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « La température la plus élevée à Austin le 27 juin ? », parcourez les 11 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « La température la plus élevée à Austin le 27 juin ? » est « 94-95°F » à 38%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 38% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « 96-97°F » à 28%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « La température la plus élevée à Austin le 27 juin ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.