Recent JMA forecasts indicate showers throughout June 27 across Tokyo, with elevated precipitation probabilities (50-70%) that favor cloud cover and reduced solar insolation, keeping maximum temperatures near seasonal norms of 25-27°C. Above-normal summer temperature trends from the Japan Meteorological Agency provide modest upward pressure, yet persistent tsuyu moisture and potential daytime rain limit extreme heating compared to clear-sky scenarios. Ensemble model spreads and historical June variability around the 26°C mean explain the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities between 24°C and 26°C, with higher outcomes requiring clearer conditions or stronger southerly flow not currently favored. Updated model runs ahead of the weekend will refine steering patterns and instability.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Tokyo le 27 juin ?
24°C 45%
25°C 30%
23°C 22%
26°C 7%
$49,374 Vol.
$49,374 Vol.
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
22%
24°C
45%
25°C
30%
26°C
7%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
24°C 45%
25°C 30%
23°C 22%
26°C 7%
$49,374 Vol.
$49,374 Vol.
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
22%
24°C
45%
25°C
30%
26°C
7%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 25, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent JMA forecasts indicate showers throughout June 27 across Tokyo, with elevated precipitation probabilities (50-70%) that favor cloud cover and reduced solar insolation, keeping maximum temperatures near seasonal norms of 25-27°C. Above-normal summer temperature trends from the Japan Meteorological Agency provide modest upward pressure, yet persistent tsuyu moisture and potential daytime rain limit extreme heating compared to clear-sky scenarios. Ensemble model spreads and historical June variability around the 26°C mean explain the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities between 24°C and 26°C, with higher outcomes requiring clearer conditions or stronger southerly flow not currently favored. Updated model runs ahead of the weekend will refine steering patterns and instability.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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