Ensemble forecasts from models such as the GFS and ECMWF position mid-teens Celsius as the most probable range for Cape Town’s June 28 maximum, reflecting typical Southern Hemisphere winter conditions dominated by Atlantic high-pressure systems and modest diurnal warming. Recent model runs show limited day-to-day variability ahead of any approaching cold front, consistent with historical June averages near 16–18 °C and the moderating influence of marine air and Table Mountain orography. Trader consensus clusters around 14–16 °C outcomes because these align with current guidance while accounting for the narrow uncertainty band two days from resolution; further South African Weather Service updates or refined ensemble shifts could adjust probabilities if a stronger ridge or frontal passage develops.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée au Cap le 28 juin ?
La température la plus élevée au Cap le 28 juin ?
15°C 44%
16°C 25%
14°C 22%
17°C 5%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
28 juin 2026
10°C ou moins
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
1%
13°C
4%
14°C
22%
15°C
44%
16°C
25%
17°C
5%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C ou plus
<1%
15°C 44%
16°C 25%
14°C 22%
17°C 5%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
28 juin 2026
10°C ou moins
$564 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$326 Vol.
1%
12°C
$148 Vol.
1%
13°C
$562 Vol.
4%
14°C
$523 Vol.
22%
15°C
$786 Vol.
44%
16°C
$306 Vol.
25%
17°C
$165 Vol.
5%
18°C
$159 Vol.
1%
19°C
$265 Vol.
1%
20°C ou plus
$318 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ensemble forecasts from models such as the GFS and ECMWF position mid-teens Celsius as the most probable range for Cape Town’s June 28 maximum, reflecting typical Southern Hemisphere winter conditions dominated by Atlantic high-pressure systems and modest diurnal warming. Recent model runs show limited day-to-day variability ahead of any approaching cold front, consistent with historical June averages near 16–18 °C and the moderating influence of marine air and Table Mountain orography. Trader consensus clusters around 14–16 °C outcomes because these align with current guidance while accounting for the narrow uncertainty band two days from resolution; further South African Weather Service updates or refined ensemble shifts could adjust probabilities if a stronger ridge or frontal passage develops.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 26, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Volume
$4,121Date de fin
28 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 26, 2026, 1:02 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ensemble forecasts from models such as the GFS and ECMWF position mid-teens Celsius as the most probable range for Cape Town’s June 28 maximum, reflecting typical Southern Hemisphere winter conditions dominated by Atlantic high-pressure systems and modest diurnal warming. Recent model runs show limited day-to-day variability ahead of any approaching cold front, consistent with historical June averages near 16–18 °C and the moderating influence of marine air and Table Mountain orography. Trader consensus clusters around 14–16 °C outcomes because these align with current guidance while accounting for the narrow uncertainty band two days from resolution; further South African Weather Service updates or refined ensemble shifts could adjust probabilities if a stronger ridge or frontal passage develops.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,121Date de fin
28 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 26, 2026, 1:02 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ensemble forecasts from models such as the GFS and ECMWF position mid-teens Celsius as the most probable range for Cape Town’s June 28 maximum, reflecting typical Southern Hemisphere winter conditions dominated by Atlantic high-pressure systems and modest diurnal warming. Recent model runs show limited day-to-day variability ahead of any approaching cold front, consistent with historical June averages near 16–18 °C and the moderating influence of marine air and Table Mountain orography. Trader consensus clusters around 14–16 °C outcomes because these align with current guidance while accounting for the narrow uncertainty band two days from resolution; further South African Weather Service updates or refined ensemble shifts could adjust probabilities if a stronger ridge or frontal passage develops.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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