High uncertainty in European model guidance for overnight radiative cooling under variable cloud cover and potential thunderstorm activity is keeping trader-implied probabilities tightly clustered between 18 °C and 23 °C for Paris’s minimum temperature on June 28. Recent ECMWF and Météo-France runs show a modest cooling trend from the preceding heatwave, with forecast lows centered near 21–22 °C but sensitive to small shifts in boundary-layer moisture and wind. Historical June minima average 13–14 °C, yet current synoptic patterns favor elevated values; the next 00Z and 12Z model cycles will likely tighten the distribution ahead of market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Paris le 28 juin ?
22°C 33%
21°C 28%
23°C 22%
20°C 13%
18°C ou moins
1%
19°C
4%
20°C
13%
21°C
28%
22°C
33%
23°C
22%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C ou plus
<1%
22°C 33%
21°C 28%
23°C 22%
20°C 13%
18°C ou moins
1%
19°C
4%
20°C
13%
21°C
28%
22°C
33%
23°C
22%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C ou plus
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...High uncertainty in European model guidance for overnight radiative cooling under variable cloud cover and potential thunderstorm activity is keeping trader-implied probabilities tightly clustered between 18 °C and 23 °C for Paris’s minimum temperature on June 28. Recent ECMWF and Météo-France runs show a modest cooling trend from the preceding heatwave, with forecast lows centered near 21–22 °C but sensitive to small shifts in boundary-layer moisture and wind. Historical June minima average 13–14 °C, yet current synoptic patterns favor elevated values; the next 00Z and 12Z model cycles will likely tighten the distribution ahead of market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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