Latest Met Office guidance points to a 37°C peak in London on June 26 amid an established heatwave driven by a strong high-pressure ridge advecting warm, humid air from the continent. Ensemble model spreads and urban heat-island variability introduce meaningful uncertainty around the precise maximum, keeping the market-implied distribution centered on 34–36°C rather than locking onto the headline forecast. Recent runs show limited day-to-day shift, with only modest risk of a cooler boundary-layer mix or delayed peak timing that could cap readings at or below 35°C. Traders will watch the next 12–24 h of high-resolution guidance and any updated Met Office heat warnings for signals that could shift probabilities before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Londres le 26 juin ?
La température la plus élevée à Londres le 26 juin ?
36°C 100.0%
32°C ou moins <1%
33°C <1%
34°C <1%
$307,502 Vol.
$307,502 Vol.
26 juin 2026
32°C ou moins
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
100%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C or higher
<1%
36°C 100.0%
32°C ou moins <1%
33°C <1%
34°C <1%
$307,502 Vol.
$307,502 Vol.
26 juin 2026
32°C ou moins
$29,199 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$26,589 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$31,777 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$62,412 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$50,234 Vol.
100%
37°C
$43,869 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$30,271 Vol.
<1%
39°C
$12,457 Vol.
<1%
40°C
$4,628 Vol.
<1%
41°C
$3,226 Vol.
<1%
42°C or higher
$12,851 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest Met Office guidance points to a 37°C peak in London on June 26 amid an established heatwave driven by a strong high-pressure ridge advecting warm, humid air from the continent. Ensemble model spreads and urban heat-island variability introduce meaningful uncertainty around the precise maximum, keeping the market-implied distribution centered on 34–36°C rather than locking onto the headline forecast. Recent runs show limited day-to-day shift, with only modest risk of a cooler boundary-layer mix or delayed peak timing that could cap readings at or below 35°C. Traders will watch the next 12–24 h of high-resolution guidance and any updated Met Office heat warnings for signals that could shift probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 24, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volume
$307,502Date de fin
26 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 24, 2026, 1:03 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest Met Office guidance points to a 37°C peak in London on June 26 amid an established heatwave driven by a strong high-pressure ridge advecting warm, humid air from the continent. Ensemble model spreads and urban heat-island variability introduce meaningful uncertainty around the precise maximum, keeping the market-implied distribution centered on 34–36°C rather than locking onto the headline forecast. Recent runs show limited day-to-day shift, with only modest risk of a cooler boundary-layer mix or delayed peak timing that could cap readings at or below 35°C. Traders will watch the next 12–24 h of high-resolution guidance and any updated Met Office heat warnings for signals that could shift probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$307,502Date de fin
26 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 24, 2026, 1:03 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Met Office guidance points to a 37°C peak in London on June 26 amid an established heatwave driven by a strong high-pressure ridge advecting warm, humid air from the continent. Ensemble model spreads and urban heat-island variability introduce meaningful uncertainty around the precise maximum, keeping the market-implied distribution centered on 34–36°C rather than locking onto the headline forecast. Recent runs show limited day-to-day shift, with only modest risk of a cooler boundary-layer mix or delayed peak timing that could cap readings at or below 35°C. Traders will watch the next 12–24 h of high-resolution guidance and any updated Met Office heat warnings for signals that could shift probabilities before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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