Current ensemble forecasts for Shanghai indicate overnight lows near 22–23°C on June 17, driving the closely matched market-implied odds of 25% for 23°C and 24% for 22°C. Primary differentiating factors include model variations in cloud cover that modulates nocturnal radiative cooling, boundary-layer humidity, light easterly winds, and any scattered showers that could suppress minimum temperatures by 1–2°C. With resolution hinging on official station readings, traders weigh recent model runs against typical mid-June climatology of 20–22°C lows while noting the narrow uncertainty range typical two days ahead of the event.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Shanghai on June 17?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on June 17?
23°C 25%
22°C 24%
24°C 19%
21°C 12%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jun 17, 2026
18°C or below
11%
19°C
6%
20°C
11%
21°C
12%
22°C
24%
23°C
25%
24°C
19%
25°C
10%
26°C
2%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
23°C 25%
22°C 24%
24°C 19%
21°C 12%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jun 17, 2026
18°C or below
$42 ปริมาณ
11%
19°C
$11 ปริมาณ
6%
20°C
$0 ปริมาณ
11%
21°C
$0 ปริมาณ
12%
22°C
$0 ปริมาณ
24%
23°C
$0 ปริมาณ
25%
24°C
$0 ปริมาณ
19%
25°C
$0 ปริมาณ
10%
26°C
$11 ปริมาณ
2%
27°C
$22 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts for Shanghai indicate overnight lows near 22–23°C on June 17, driving the closely matched market-implied odds of 25% for 23°C and 24% for 22°C. Primary differentiating factors include model variations in cloud cover that modulates nocturnal radiative cooling, boundary-layer humidity, light easterly winds, and any scattered showers that could suppress minimum temperatures by 1–2°C. With resolution hinging on official station readings, traders weigh recent model runs against typical mid-June climatology of 20–22°C lows while noting the narrow uncertainty range typical two days ahead of the event.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$75วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts for Shanghai indicate overnight lows near 22–23°C on June 17, driving the closely matched market-implied odds of 25% for 23°C and 24% for 22°C. Primary differentiating factors include model variations in cloud cover that modulates nocturnal radiative cooling, boundary-layer humidity, light easterly winds, and any scattered showers that could suppress minimum temperatures by 1–2°C. With resolution hinging on official station readings, traders weigh recent model runs against typical mid-June climatology of 20–22°C lows while noting the narrow uncertainty range typical two days ahead of the event.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$75วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts for Shanghai indicate overnight lows near 22–23°C on June 17, driving the closely matched market-implied odds of 25% for 23°C and 24% for 22°C. Primary differentiating factors include model variations in cloud cover that modulates nocturnal radiative cooling, boundary-layer humidity, light easterly winds, and any scattered showers that could suppress minimum temperatures by 1–2°C. With resolution hinging on official station readings, traders weigh recent model runs against typical mid-June climatology of 20–22°C lows while noting the narrow uncertainty range typical two days ahead of the event.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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