Recent model consensus and observational trends position 25–26°C as the leading outcomes for Shanghai’s June 15 high, reflecting persistent plum-rain (meiyu) conditions that maintain cloud cover, elevated humidity near 80–90%, and scattered showers limiting solar heating. Official guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicates a stable onshore flow and weak pressure gradients, consistent with mid-June climatology where daily maxima average 27–28°C but frequently fall to 24–26°C under overcast skies. Current short-range forecasts cluster tightly around 25–27°C, with minimal upward revision expected before resolution; any brief clearing could push readings slightly higher, while heavier rain would anchor them near 24°C. Traders’ emphasis on these central bins aligns with the low probability assigned to extremes above 28°C or below 23°C given the entrenched synoptic pattern.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Shanghai on June 15?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on June 15?
25°C 38%
26°C 27%
24°C 20%
27°C 11%
ใหม่
$16,521 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$16,521 ปริมาณ
Jun 15, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
5%
24°C
20%
25°C
38%
26°C
27%
27°C
11%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
25°C 38%
26°C 27%
24°C 20%
27°C 11%
ใหม่
$16,521 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$16,521 ปริมาณ
Jun 15, 2026
21°C or below
$552 ปริมาณ
<1%
22°C
$3,996 ปริมาณ
1%
23°C
$1,655 ปริมาณ
5%
24°C
$2,179 ปริมาณ
20%
25°C
$611 ปริมาณ
38%
26°C
$988 ปริมาณ
27%
27°C
$1,328 ปริมาณ
11%
28°C
$2,030 ปริมาณ
1%
29°C
$1,776 ปริมาณ
1%
30°C
$937 ปริมาณ
<1%
31°C or higher
$685 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus and observational trends position 25–26°C as the leading outcomes for Shanghai’s June 15 high, reflecting persistent plum-rain (meiyu) conditions that maintain cloud cover, elevated humidity near 80–90%, and scattered showers limiting solar heating. Official guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicates a stable onshore flow and weak pressure gradients, consistent with mid-June climatology where daily maxima average 27–28°C but frequently fall to 24–26°C under overcast skies. Current short-range forecasts cluster tightly around 25–27°C, with minimal upward revision expected before resolution; any brief clearing could push readings slightly higher, while heavier rain would anchor them near 24°C. Traders’ emphasis on these central bins aligns with the low probability assigned to extremes above 28°C or below 23°C given the entrenched synoptic pattern.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 13, 2026, 12:22 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$16,521วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 13, 2026, 12:22 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus and observational trends position 25–26°C as the leading outcomes for Shanghai’s June 15 high, reflecting persistent plum-rain (meiyu) conditions that maintain cloud cover, elevated humidity near 80–90%, and scattered showers limiting solar heating. Official guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicates a stable onshore flow and weak pressure gradients, consistent with mid-June climatology where daily maxima average 27–28°C but frequently fall to 24–26°C under overcast skies. Current short-range forecasts cluster tightly around 25–27°C, with minimal upward revision expected before resolution; any brief clearing could push readings slightly higher, while heavier rain would anchor them near 24°C. Traders’ emphasis on these central bins aligns with the low probability assigned to extremes above 28°C or below 23°C given the entrenched synoptic pattern.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$16,521วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 13, 2026, 12:22 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus and observational trends position 25–26°C as the leading outcomes for Shanghai’s June 15 high, reflecting persistent plum-rain (meiyu) conditions that maintain cloud cover, elevated humidity near 80–90%, and scattered showers limiting solar heating. Official guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicates a stable onshore flow and weak pressure gradients, consistent with mid-June climatology where daily maxima average 27–28°C but frequently fall to 24–26°C under overcast skies. Current short-range forecasts cluster tightly around 25–27°C, with minimal upward revision expected before resolution; any brief clearing could push readings slightly higher, while heavier rain would anchor them near 24°C. Traders’ emphasis on these central bins aligns with the low probability assigned to extremes above 28°C or below 23°C given the entrenched synoptic pattern.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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