Recent numerical weather prediction runs from global and regional models show broad agreement on a daily maximum of 31–33°C for Wuhan on June 16, aligning with the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those outcomes. Mid-June climatology features strengthening subtropical high pressure and increasing insolation, with typical maxima near 30–32°C and limited day-to-day variability absent strong frontal passages or enhanced monsoon moisture. Minor model spread in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat-island effects creates the narrow uncertainty band reflected in trader positions. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and verification against observations over the next 48 hours will likely resolve the 31–33°C tier.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Wuhan on June 16?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on June 16?
32°C 35%
33°C 28%
31°C 20%
30°C 6%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jun 16, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
3%
30°C
6%
31°C
20%
32°C
35%
33°C
28%
34°C
5%
35°C
3%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 35%
33°C 28%
31°C 20%
30°C 6%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jun 16, 2026
27°C or below
$432 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C
$312 ปริมาณ
<1%
29°C
$164 ปริมาณ
3%
30°C
$26 ปริมาณ
6%
31°C
$90 ปริมาณ
20%
32°C
$217 ปริมาณ
35%
33°C
$269 ปริมาณ
28%
34°C
$18 ปริมาณ
5%
35°C
$10 ปริมาณ
3%
36°C
$44 ปริมาณ
1%
37°C or higher
$47 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction runs from global and regional models show broad agreement on a daily maximum of 31–33°C for Wuhan on June 16, aligning with the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those outcomes. Mid-June climatology features strengthening subtropical high pressure and increasing insolation, with typical maxima near 30–32°C and limited day-to-day variability absent strong frontal passages or enhanced monsoon moisture. Minor model spread in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat-island effects creates the narrow uncertainty band reflected in trader positions. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and verification against observations over the next 48 hours will likely resolve the 31–33°C tier.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,608วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction runs from global and regional models show broad agreement on a daily maximum of 31–33°C for Wuhan on June 16, aligning with the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those outcomes. Mid-June climatology features strengthening subtropical high pressure and increasing insolation, with typical maxima near 30–32°C and limited day-to-day variability absent strong frontal passages or enhanced monsoon moisture. Minor model spread in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat-island effects creates the narrow uncertainty band reflected in trader positions. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and verification against observations over the next 48 hours will likely resolve the 31–33°C tier.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,608วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction runs from global and regional models show broad agreement on a daily maximum of 31–33°C for Wuhan on June 16, aligning with the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those outcomes. Mid-June climatology features strengthening subtropical high pressure and increasing insolation, with typical maxima near 30–32°C and limited day-to-day variability absent strong frontal passages or enhanced monsoon moisture. Minor model spread in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat-island effects creates the narrow uncertainty band reflected in trader positions. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and verification against observations over the next 48 hours will likely resolve the 31–33°C tier.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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