**Trader sentiment for Hong Kong’s June 14 minimum temperature centers on persistent southwest monsoon flow and an active low-pressure trough, which are sustaining cloudy skies, high humidity (80–95%), and scattered heavy showers across the territory.** These conditions suppress radiative cooling overnight, elevating the minimum above typical early-June baselines near 26°C. Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance lists a 26–30°C range for the day, while model consensus and climatology place the overnight low most likely at 27–28°C under moderate southwesterly winds and extensive cloud cover. The near-even split between the 28°C (42.3%) and 27°C (41.0%) outcomes reflects residual uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and localized cooling pockets, with only low probability assigned to cooler readings that would require clearer skies or a marine-layer surge. Updated HKO bulletins and real-time observations through the evening will be the key near-term drivers for any final shift in market-implied odds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Hong Kong on June 14?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on June 14?
28°C 76.9%
27°C 41%
26°C 7.8%
25°C 2.7%
$28,539 ปริมาณ
$28,539 ปริมาณ
Jun 14, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
3%
26°C
12%
27°C
32%
28°C
57%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
28°C 76.9%
27°C 41%
26°C 7.8%
25°C 2.7%
$28,539 ปริมาณ
$28,539 ปริมาณ
Jun 14, 2026
22°C or below
$1,291 ปริมาณ
<1%
23°C
$1,751 ปริมาณ
<1%
24°C
$2,799 ปริมาณ
<1%
25°C
$2,610 ปริมาณ
3%
26°C
$3,420 ปริมาณ
12%
27°C
$1,476 ปริมาณ
32%
28°C
$5,933 ปริมาณ
57%
29°C
$6,708 ปริมาณ
<1%
30°C
$505 ปริมาณ
<1%
31°C
$462 ปริมาณ
<1%
32°C or higher
$1,755 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader sentiment for Hong Kong’s June 14 minimum temperature centers on persistent southwest monsoon flow and an active low-pressure trough, which are sustaining cloudy skies, high humidity (80–95%), and scattered heavy showers across the territory.** These conditions suppress radiative cooling overnight, elevating the minimum above typical early-June baselines near 26°C. Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance lists a 26–30°C range for the day, while model consensus and climatology place the overnight low most likely at 27–28°C under moderate southwesterly winds and extensive cloud cover. The near-even split between the 28°C (42.3%) and 27°C (41.0%) outcomes reflects residual uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and localized cooling pockets, with only low probability assigned to cooler readings that would require clearer skies or a marine-layer surge. Updated HKO bulletins and real-time observations through the evening will be the key near-term drivers for any final shift in market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$28,539วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader sentiment for Hong Kong’s June 14 minimum temperature centers on persistent southwest monsoon flow and an active low-pressure trough, which are sustaining cloudy skies, high humidity (80–95%), and scattered heavy showers across the territory.** These conditions suppress radiative cooling overnight, elevating the minimum above typical early-June baselines near 26°C. Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance lists a 26–30°C range for the day, while model consensus and climatology place the overnight low most likely at 27–28°C under moderate southwesterly winds and extensive cloud cover. The near-even split between the 28°C (42.3%) and 27°C (41.0%) outcomes reflects residual uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and localized cooling pockets, with only low probability assigned to cooler readings that would require clearer skies or a marine-layer surge. Updated HKO bulletins and real-time observations through the evening will be the key near-term drivers for any final shift in market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$28,539วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Hong Kong’s June 14 minimum temperature centers on persistent southwest monsoon flow and an active low-pressure trough, which are sustaining cloudy skies, high humidity (80–95%), and scattered heavy showers across the territory.** These conditions suppress radiative cooling overnight, elevating the minimum above typical early-June baselines near 26°C. Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance lists a 26–30°C range for the day, while model consensus and climatology place the overnight low most likely at 27–28°C under moderate southwesterly winds and extensive cloud cover. The near-even split between the 28°C (42.3%) and 27°C (41.0%) outcomes reflects residual uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and localized cooling pockets, with only low probability assigned to cooler readings that would require clearer skies or a marine-layer surge. Updated HKO bulletins and real-time observations through the evening will be the key near-term drivers for any final shift in market-implied odds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย