Trader consensus overwhelmingly assigns a 99.9% implied probability to 29°C as Wuhan's highest temperature on June 14 due to convergence across short-range meteorological models and real-time observational data showing limited daytime heating under stable atmospheric conditions. Early June climatology for the region typically features highs climbing from the mid-20s°C toward 30°C amid rising humidity and variable monsoon influences, with current forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration aligning precisely on this threshold. Uncertainties in cloud cover, wind patterns, or localized urban heat effects could theoretically shift the outcome, though the narrow resolution window and model agreement make such deviations highly improbable.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Wuhan on June 14?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on June 14?
29°C 99.8%
30°C <1%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
$63,139 ปริมาณ
$63,139 ปริมาณ
Jun 14, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
100%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
29°C 99.8%
30°C <1%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
$63,139 ปริมาณ
$63,139 ปริมาณ
Jun 14, 2026
27°C or below
$6,577 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C
$12,446 ปริมาณ
<1%
29°C
$11,757 ปริมาณ
100%
30°C
$8,093 ปริมาณ
<1%
31°C
$5,623 ปริมาณ
<1%
32°C
$4,606 ปริมาณ
<1%
33°C
$6,481 ปริมาณ
<1%
34°C
$2,917 ปริมาณ
<1%
35°C
$1,196 ปริมาณ
<1%
36°C
$2,399 ปริมาณ
<1%
37°C or higher
$1,564 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus overwhelmingly assigns a 99.9% implied probability to 29°C as Wuhan's highest temperature on June 14 due to convergence across short-range meteorological models and real-time observational data showing limited daytime heating under stable atmospheric conditions. Early June climatology for the region typically features highs climbing from the mid-20s°C toward 30°C amid rising humidity and variable monsoon influences, with current forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration aligning precisely on this threshold. Uncertainties in cloud cover, wind patterns, or localized urban heat effects could theoretically shift the outcome, though the narrow resolution window and model agreement make such deviations highly improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 12, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$63,139วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 12, 2026, 12:06 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus overwhelmingly assigns a 99.9% implied probability to 29°C as Wuhan's highest temperature on June 14 due to convergence across short-range meteorological models and real-time observational data showing limited daytime heating under stable atmospheric conditions. Early June climatology for the region typically features highs climbing from the mid-20s°C toward 30°C amid rising humidity and variable monsoon influences, with current forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration aligning precisely on this threshold. Uncertainties in cloud cover, wind patterns, or localized urban heat effects could theoretically shift the outcome, though the narrow resolution window and model agreement make such deviations highly improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$63,139วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 12, 2026, 12:06 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus overwhelmingly assigns a 99.9% implied probability to 29°C as Wuhan's highest temperature on June 14 due to convergence across short-range meteorological models and real-time observational data showing limited daytime heating under stable atmospheric conditions. Early June climatology for the region typically features highs climbing from the mid-20s°C toward 30°C amid rising humidity and variable monsoon influences, with current forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration aligning precisely on this threshold. Uncertainties in cloud cover, wind patterns, or localized urban heat effects could theoretically shift the outcome, though the narrow resolution window and model agreement make such deviations highly improbable.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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