Current forecasts from meteorological models and agencies center on a daily maximum near 17°C in Warsaw, driven by persistent westerly flow, moderate Atlantic influence, and limited insolation under mostly cloudy skies with isolated showers. Official guidance from sources such as timeanddate, BBC Weather, and Met Office products shows highs of 15–17°C, consistent with mid-June climatology but on the cooler side of seasonal norms. Trader consensus at 94.5% for exactly 17°C reflects high-confidence model agreement on this narrow range, with minimal upside risk from current steering patterns or surface observations. A realistic shift above 18°C would require unexpected clearing and stronger southerly advection, while cooler outcomes remain unlikely absent rapid frontal passage.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Warsaw on June 14?
17°C 96%
18°C 3.0%
19°C <1%
20°C or higher <1%
$62,044 ปริมาณ
$62,044 ปริมาณ
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
96%
18°C
3%
19°C
1%
20°C or higher
<1%
17°C 96%
18°C 3.0%
19°C <1%
20°C or higher <1%
$62,044 ปริมาณ
$62,044 ปริมาณ
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
96%
18°C
3%
19°C
1%
20°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from meteorological models and agencies center on a daily maximum near 17°C in Warsaw, driven by persistent westerly flow, moderate Atlantic influence, and limited insolation under mostly cloudy skies with isolated showers. Official guidance from sources such as timeanddate, BBC Weather, and Met Office products shows highs of 15–17°C, consistent with mid-June climatology but on the cooler side of seasonal norms. Trader consensus at 94.5% for exactly 17°C reflects high-confidence model agreement on this narrow range, with minimal upside risk from current steering patterns or surface observations. A realistic shift above 18°C would require unexpected clearing and stronger southerly advection, while cooler outcomes remain unlikely absent rapid frontal passage.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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