Forecast models from the Japan Meteorological Agency and international ensembles currently cluster the overnight minimum for Tokyo on June 16 near 17–18 °C, anchoring the 53.5 % implied probability on 18 °C and 34.5 % on 17 °C. Typical early-June climatology, with seasonal normals around 18.7 °C, supports this range amid the tail end of the rainy season’s moderating influence. Recent short-range guidance shows limited spread and no strong cold-air advection or clear-sky radiative cooling that would push readings notably lower, keeping probabilities for 16 °C or below under 17 % combined. Traders are weighting the next model cycles and any adjustments to cloud cover or wind forecasts, which could refine the exact minimum before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Tokyo on June 16?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on June 16?
18°C 39%
17°C 35%
16°C 14%
19°C 8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jun 16, 2026
13°C or below
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
5%
16°C
14%
17°C
35%
18°C
53%
19°C
8%
20°C
5%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C or higher
<1%
18°C 39%
17°C 35%
16°C 14%
19°C 8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jun 16, 2026
13°C or below
$135 ปริมาณ
1%
14°C
$184 ปริมาณ
1%
15°C
$16 ปริมาณ
5%
16°C
$16 ปริมาณ
14%
17°C
$35 ปริมาณ
35%
18°C
$24 ปริมาณ
53%
19°C
$16 ปริมาณ
8%
20°C
$16 ปริมาณ
5%
21°C
$30 ปริมาณ
1%
22°C
$160 ปริมาณ
1%
23°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the Japan Meteorological Agency and international ensembles currently cluster the overnight minimum for Tokyo on June 16 near 17–18 °C, anchoring the 53.5 % implied probability on 18 °C and 34.5 % on 17 °C. Typical early-June climatology, with seasonal normals around 18.7 °C, supports this range amid the tail end of the rainy season’s moderating influence. Recent short-range guidance shows limited spread and no strong cold-air advection or clear-sky radiative cooling that would push readings notably lower, keeping probabilities for 16 °C or below under 17 % combined. Traders are weighting the next model cycles and any adjustments to cloud cover or wind forecasts, which could refine the exact minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$631วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the Japan Meteorological Agency and international ensembles currently cluster the overnight minimum for Tokyo on June 16 near 17–18 °C, anchoring the 53.5 % implied probability on 18 °C and 34.5 % on 17 °C. Typical early-June climatology, with seasonal normals around 18.7 °C, supports this range amid the tail end of the rainy season’s moderating influence. Recent short-range guidance shows limited spread and no strong cold-air advection or clear-sky radiative cooling that would push readings notably lower, keeping probabilities for 16 °C or below under 17 % combined. Traders are weighting the next model cycles and any adjustments to cloud cover or wind forecasts, which could refine the exact minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$631วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the Japan Meteorological Agency and international ensembles currently cluster the overnight minimum for Tokyo on June 16 near 17–18 °C, anchoring the 53.5 % implied probability on 18 °C and 34.5 % on 17 °C. Typical early-June climatology, with seasonal normals around 18.7 °C, supports this range amid the tail end of the rainy season’s moderating influence. Recent short-range guidance shows limited spread and no strong cold-air advection or clear-sky radiative cooling that would push readings notably lower, keeping probabilities for 16 °C or below under 17 % combined. Traders are weighting the next model cycles and any adjustments to cloud cover or wind forecasts, which could refine the exact minimum before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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