PAGASA forecasts for Manila on June 16 point to a daytime high near 32–34°C amid partly cloudy skies and a 10–30% rain chance, consistent with the southwest monsoon’s typical afternoon thunderstorms that limit peak heating. Long-term June averages hover around 32°C, with recent regional observations showing isolated 34–35°C readings elsewhere in Luzon but moderated conditions near the capital due to humidity and cloud cover. Model consensus favors 33–34°C outcomes, aligning with market-implied probabilities that assign the highest weight to 34°C while reflecting uncertainty from potential convective activity or slight steering variations. Traders appear to weigh these near-term dynamics against climatological baselines, as no anomalous heat signals have emerged in the latest agency guidance.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Manila on June 16?
34°C 42%
35°C 22%
33°C 21%
36°C 8%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
4%
33°C
21%
34°C
42%
35°C
22%
36°C
8%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
1%
34°C 42%
35°C 22%
33°C 21%
36°C 8%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
4%
33°C
21%
34°C
42%
35°C
22%
36°C
8%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...PAGASA forecasts for Manila on June 16 point to a daytime high near 32–34°C amid partly cloudy skies and a 10–30% rain chance, consistent with the southwest monsoon’s typical afternoon thunderstorms that limit peak heating. Long-term June averages hover around 32°C, with recent regional observations showing isolated 34–35°C readings elsewhere in Luzon but moderated conditions near the capital due to humidity and cloud cover. Model consensus favors 33–34°C outcomes, aligning with market-implied probabilities that assign the highest weight to 34°C while reflecting uncertainty from potential convective activity or slight steering variations. Traders appear to weigh these near-term dynamics against climatological baselines, as no anomalous heat signals have emerged in the latest agency guidance.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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