Traders assign the highest implied probability to a 32°C peak in Guangzhou on June 14 because seasonal climatology and ensemble forecasts place the daily maximum near that threshold amid subtropical monsoon conditions. June typically brings average highs of 31–32°C with high humidity and frequent afternoon convection; current model guidance from regional agencies shows partly to mostly cloudy skies with scattered thunderstorms that limit daytime heating but still allow brief periods of stronger insolation to reach 31–32°C. Lower odds on 33°C or higher reflect the cooling effect of expected rainfall and cloud cover, while probabilities collapse below 30°C given the absence of any strong cold-air intrusion or prolonged overcast. Updated short-range model runs and official maximum-temperature observations released later today will determine final settlement.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Guangzhou on June 14?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on June 14?
32°C 63.3%
31°C 32%
33°C or higher 8.6%
23°C or below <1%
ใหม่
$35,402 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$35,402 ปริมาณ
Jun 14, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
32%
32°C
63%
33°C or higher
9%
32°C 63.3%
31°C 32%
33°C or higher 8.6%
23°C or below <1%
ใหม่
$35,402 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$35,402 ปริมาณ
Jun 14, 2026
23°C or below
$151 ปริมาณ
<1%
24°C
$151 ปริมาณ
<1%
25°C
$568 ปริมาณ
<1%
26°C
$4,315 ปริมาณ
<1%
27°C
$3,364 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C
$4,927 ปริมาณ
<1%
29°C
$4,774 ปริมาณ
<1%
30°C
$6,991 ปริมาณ
<1%
31°C
$3,087 ปริมาณ
32%
32°C
$3,447 ปริมาณ
63%
33°C or higher
$4,198 ปริมาณ
9%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign the highest implied probability to a 32°C peak in Guangzhou on June 14 because seasonal climatology and ensemble forecasts place the daily maximum near that threshold amid subtropical monsoon conditions. June typically brings average highs of 31–32°C with high humidity and frequent afternoon convection; current model guidance from regional agencies shows partly to mostly cloudy skies with scattered thunderstorms that limit daytime heating but still allow brief periods of stronger insolation to reach 31–32°C. Lower odds on 33°C or higher reflect the cooling effect of expected rainfall and cloud cover, while probabilities collapse below 30°C given the absence of any strong cold-air intrusion or prolonged overcast. Updated short-range model runs and official maximum-temperature observations released later today will determine final settlement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 12, 2026, 12:17 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$35,402วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 12, 2026, 12:17 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign the highest implied probability to a 32°C peak in Guangzhou on June 14 because seasonal climatology and ensemble forecasts place the daily maximum near that threshold amid subtropical monsoon conditions. June typically brings average highs of 31–32°C with high humidity and frequent afternoon convection; current model guidance from regional agencies shows partly to mostly cloudy skies with scattered thunderstorms that limit daytime heating but still allow brief periods of stronger insolation to reach 31–32°C. Lower odds on 33°C or higher reflect the cooling effect of expected rainfall and cloud cover, while probabilities collapse below 30°C given the absence of any strong cold-air intrusion or prolonged overcast. Updated short-range model runs and official maximum-temperature observations released later today will determine final settlement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$35,402วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 12, 2026, 12:17 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign the highest implied probability to a 32°C peak in Guangzhou on June 14 because seasonal climatology and ensemble forecasts place the daily maximum near that threshold amid subtropical monsoon conditions. June typically brings average highs of 31–32°C with high humidity and frequent afternoon convection; current model guidance from regional agencies shows partly to mostly cloudy skies with scattered thunderstorms that limit daytime heating but still allow brief periods of stronger insolation to reach 31–32°C. Lower odds on 33°C or higher reflect the cooling effect of expected rainfall and cloud cover, while probabilities collapse below 30°C given the absence of any strong cold-air intrusion or prolonged overcast. Updated short-range model runs and official maximum-temperature observations released later today will determine final settlement.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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