Latest National Weather Service and private model guidance points to a moderating lake breeze and partial cloud cover limiting peak heating on June 15, anchoring trader consensus on highs in the mid-70s. Ensemble spreads show most solutions clustered between 74–79 °F, with 76–77 °F carrying the highest implied probability because it aligns with the median of short-range runs initialized on June 13–14. Seasonal normals near 80.5 °F are tempered by a weak frontal boundary and above-average soil moisture from recent rains, reducing surface sensible-heat flux. Updated model cycles expected overnight and early on the 15th will refine the precise thermal ridge position and could shift probabilities within the 74–79 °F band ahead of market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Chicago on June 15?
Highest temperature in Chicago on June 15?
76-77°F 28%
74-75°F 20%
72-73°F 16%
78-79°F 16%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jun 15, 2026
65°F or below
1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
2%
70-71°F
7%
72-73°F
16%
74-75°F
20%
76-77°F
28%
78-79°F
16%
80-81°F
6%
82-83°F
3%
84°F or higher
4%
76-77°F 28%
74-75°F 20%
72-73°F 16%
78-79°F 16%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jun 15, 2026
65°F or below
$102 ปริมาณ
1%
66-67°F
$152 ปริมาณ
<1%
68-69°F
$127 ปริมาณ
2%
70-71°F
$319 ปริมาณ
7%
72-73°F
$217 ปริมาณ
16%
74-75°F
$280 ปริมาณ
20%
76-77°F
$153 ปริมาณ
28%
78-79°F
$163 ปริมาณ
16%
80-81°F
$153 ปริมาณ
6%
82-83°F
$219 ปริมาณ
3%
84°F or higher
$408 ปริมาณ
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and private model guidance points to a moderating lake breeze and partial cloud cover limiting peak heating on June 15, anchoring trader consensus on highs in the mid-70s. Ensemble spreads show most solutions clustered between 74–79 °F, with 76–77 °F carrying the highest implied probability because it aligns with the median of short-range runs initialized on June 13–14. Seasonal normals near 80.5 °F are tempered by a weak frontal boundary and above-average soil moisture from recent rains, reducing surface sensible-heat flux. Updated model cycles expected overnight and early on the 15th will refine the precise thermal ridge position and could shift probabilities within the 74–79 °F band ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 13, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,026วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 13, 2026, 9:03 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and private model guidance points to a moderating lake breeze and partial cloud cover limiting peak heating on June 15, anchoring trader consensus on highs in the mid-70s. Ensemble spreads show most solutions clustered between 74–79 °F, with 76–77 °F carrying the highest implied probability because it aligns with the median of short-range runs initialized on June 13–14. Seasonal normals near 80.5 °F are tempered by a weak frontal boundary and above-average soil moisture from recent rains, reducing surface sensible-heat flux. Updated model cycles expected overnight and early on the 15th will refine the precise thermal ridge position and could shift probabilities within the 74–79 °F band ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,026วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 13, 2026, 9:03 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service and private model guidance points to a moderating lake breeze and partial cloud cover limiting peak heating on June 15, anchoring trader consensus on highs in the mid-70s. Ensemble spreads show most solutions clustered between 74–79 °F, with 76–77 °F carrying the highest implied probability because it aligns with the median of short-range runs initialized on June 13–14. Seasonal normals near 80.5 °F are tempered by a weak frontal boundary and above-average soil moisture from recent rains, reducing surface sensible-heat flux. Updated model cycles expected overnight and early on the 15th will refine the precise thermal ridge position and could shift probabilities within the 74–79 °F band ahead of market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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