**Trader sentiment for Lucknow’s June 15 maximum temperature clusters tightly around 37–38 °C because recent extreme heat is expected to ease modestly as monsoon moisture begins to intrude.** Recent IMD observations show Lucknow hitting 43–44 °C in mid-June amid a regional heatwave, but official guidance now points to relief starting June 15 from increased low-level moisture, possible isolated thundershowers, and greater cloud cover that limits peak solar heating. This aligns with the market’s narrow 37–38 °C lead (31–33.5 % implied probability). Key differentiating factors include the precise timing and extent of Bay of Bengal moisture flux, afternoon convective development, and boundary-layer mixing on the 15th. Stronger or earlier moisture can cap the high near 37 °C by enhancing cloudiness and evaporative cooling; drier conditions or delayed convection allow readings to reach 39 °C. Short-range model spread in local wind and humidity forecasts keeps the 36–39 °C band competitive while rendering 40 °C+ outcomes unlikely absent a sharp ridge rebuild.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Lucknow on June 15?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on June 15?
38°C 36%
37°C 32%
36°C 13%
39°C 12%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jun 15, 2026
34°C or below
1%
35°C
2%
36°C
13%
37°C
32%
38°C
36%
39°C
12%
40°C
5%
41°C
1%
42°C
1%
43°C
1%
44°C or higher
<1%
38°C 36%
37°C 32%
36°C 13%
39°C 12%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jun 15, 2026
34°C or below
$1,756 ปริมาณ
1%
35°C
$1,047 ปริมาณ
2%
36°C
$334 ปริมาณ
13%
37°C
$255 ปริมาณ
32%
38°C
$702 ปริมาณ
36%
39°C
$1,440 ปริมาณ
12%
40°C
$1,174 ปริมาณ
5%
41°C
$1,505 ปริมาณ
1%
42°C
$588 ปริมาณ
1%
43°C
$1,066 ปริมาณ
1%
44°C or higher
$637 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Lucknow’s June 15 maximum temperature clusters tightly around 37–38 °C because recent extreme heat is expected to ease modestly as monsoon moisture begins to intrude.**
Recent IMD observations show Lucknow hitting 43–44 °C in mid-June amid a regional heatwave, but official guidance now points to relief starting June 15 from increased low-level moisture, possible isolated thundershowers, and greater cloud cover that limits peak solar heating. This aligns with the market’s narrow 37–38 °C lead (31–33.5 % implied probability).
Key differentiating factors include the precise timing and extent of Bay of Bengal moisture flux, afternoon convective development, and boundary-layer mixing on the 15th. Stronger or earlier moisture can cap the high near 37 °C by enhancing cloudiness and evaporative cooling; drier conditions or delayed convection allow readings to reach 39 °C. Short-range model spread in local wind and humidity forecasts keeps the 36–39 °C band competitive while rendering 40 °C+ outcomes unlikely absent a sharp ridge rebuild.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 13, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$9,808วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 13, 2026, 1:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Lucknow’s June 15 maximum temperature clusters tightly around 37–38 °C because recent extreme heat is expected to ease modestly as monsoon moisture begins to intrude.**
Recent IMD observations show Lucknow hitting 43–44 °C in mid-June amid a regional heatwave, but official guidance now points to relief starting June 15 from increased low-level moisture, possible isolated thundershowers, and greater cloud cover that limits peak solar heating. This aligns with the market’s narrow 37–38 °C lead (31–33.5 % implied probability).
Key differentiating factors include the precise timing and extent of Bay of Bengal moisture flux, afternoon convective development, and boundary-layer mixing on the 15th. Stronger or earlier moisture can cap the high near 37 °C by enhancing cloudiness and evaporative cooling; drier conditions or delayed convection allow readings to reach 39 °C. Short-range model spread in local wind and humidity forecasts keeps the 36–39 °C band competitive while rendering 40 °C+ outcomes unlikely absent a sharp ridge rebuild.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$9,808วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 13, 2026, 1:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Lucknow’s June 15 maximum temperature clusters tightly around 37–38 °C because recent extreme heat is expected to ease modestly as monsoon moisture begins to intrude.** Recent IMD observations show Lucknow hitting 43–44 °C in mid-June amid a regional heatwave, but official guidance now points to relief starting June 15 from increased low-level moisture, possible isolated thundershowers, and greater cloud cover that limits peak solar heating. This aligns with the market’s narrow 37–38 °C lead (31–33.5 % implied probability). Key differentiating factors include the precise timing and extent of Bay of Bengal moisture flux, afternoon convective development, and boundary-layer mixing on the 15th. Stronger or earlier moisture can cap the high near 37 °C by enhancing cloudiness and evaporative cooling; drier conditions or delayed convection allow readings to reach 39 °C. Short-range model spread in local wind and humidity forecasts keeps the 36–39 °C band competitive while rendering 40 °C+ outcomes unlikely absent a sharp ridge rebuild.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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