Recent forecasts from models such as those issued by the South African Weather Service point to a highest temperature near 17–18°C in Cape Town on August 19, amid typical Southern Hemisphere winter conditions. The market’s tight spread across 17–19°C outcomes reflects uncertainty in local factors including the strength of southerly winds from the cold Atlantic, potential cloud cover reducing daytime heating, and any weak frontal passages that could suppress or enhance maxima by 1–2°C. Historical August averages hover around 17°C, with observed variability driven by the interplay between the Benguela Current’s cooling influence and occasional warmer northerly flow. Updated model runs and official guidance on wind patterns expected in the next 48 hours will likely sharpen probabilities ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Cape Town on August 19?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on August 19?
19°C 36%
18°C 35%
17°C 21%
20°C 13%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 19, 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
9%
17°C
21%
18°C
35%
19°C
23%
20°C
13%
21°C
8%
22°C
3%
23°C or higher
1%
19°C 36%
18°C 35%
17°C 21%
20°C 13%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 19, 2026
13°C or below
$5 ปริมาณ
<1%
14°C
$5 ปริมาณ
<1%
15°C
$5 ปริมาณ
1%
16°C
$72 ปริมาณ
9%
17°C
$15 ปริมาณ
21%
18°C
$66 ปริมาณ
35%
19°C
$0 ปริมาณ
23%
20°C
$0 ปริมาณ
13%
21°C
$56 ปริมาณ
8%
22°C
$54 ปริมาณ
3%
23°C or higher
$48 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models such as those issued by the South African Weather Service point to a highest temperature near 17–18°C in Cape Town on August 19, amid typical Southern Hemisphere winter conditions. The market’s tight spread across 17–19°C outcomes reflects uncertainty in local factors including the strength of southerly winds from the cold Atlantic, potential cloud cover reducing daytime heating, and any weak frontal passages that could suppress or enhance maxima by 1–2°C. Historical August averages hover around 17°C, with observed variability driven by the interplay between the Benguela Current’s cooling influence and occasional warmer northerly flow. Updated model runs and official guidance on wind patterns expected in the next 48 hours will likely sharpen probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$326วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 19, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models such as those issued by the South African Weather Service point to a highest temperature near 17–18°C in Cape Town on August 19, amid typical Southern Hemisphere winter conditions. The market’s tight spread across 17–19°C outcomes reflects uncertainty in local factors including the strength of southerly winds from the cold Atlantic, potential cloud cover reducing daytime heating, and any weak frontal passages that could suppress or enhance maxima by 1–2°C. Historical August averages hover around 17°C, with observed variability driven by the interplay between the Benguela Current’s cooling influence and occasional warmer northerly flow. Updated model runs and official guidance on wind patterns expected in the next 48 hours will likely sharpen probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$326วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 19, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from models such as those issued by the South African Weather Service point to a highest temperature near 17–18°C in Cape Town on August 19, amid typical Southern Hemisphere winter conditions. The market’s tight spread across 17–19°C outcomes reflects uncertainty in local factors including the strength of southerly winds from the cold Atlantic, potential cloud cover reducing daytime heating, and any weak frontal passages that could suppress or enhance maxima by 1–2°C. Historical August averages hover around 17°C, with observed variability driven by the interplay between the Benguela Current’s cooling influence and occasional warmer northerly flow. Updated model runs and official guidance on wind patterns expected in the next 48 hours will likely sharpen probabilities ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย