Cooler northwesterly flow and increasing cloud cover ahead of a frontal system are suppressing daytime heating over Warsaw, keeping forecast highs clustered around 20–22°C on August 19 according to recent European model runs and Polish meteorological guidance. Scattered showers expected late in the day further limit solar insolation and evaporative cooling, while light-to-moderate winds enhance mixing that prevents localized spikes. These conditions align with the market’s strongest implied probability on 21°C, followed by 20°C, as traders incorporate short-range ensemble consensus that shows little support for readings above 23°C or below 19°C under the current synoptic pattern. New model updates and observational data over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Warsaw on August 19?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on August 19?
21°C 36%
22°C 24%
20°C 20%
19°C 7%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 19, 2026
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
5%
19°C
7%
20°C
20%
21°C
36%
22°C
16%
23°C
7%
24°C or higher
1%
21°C 36%
22°C 24%
20°C 20%
19°C 7%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 19, 2026
14°C or below
$191 ปริมาณ
<1%
15°C
$29 ปริมาณ
<1%
16°C
$29 ปริมาณ
<1%
17°C
$380 ปริมาณ
1%
18°C
$224 ปริมาณ
5%
19°C
$200 ปริมาณ
7%
20°C
$89 ปริมาณ
20%
21°C
$79 ปริมาณ
36%
22°C
$63 ปริมาณ
16%
23°C
$29 ปริมาณ
7%
24°C or higher
$19 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Cooler northwesterly flow and increasing cloud cover ahead of a frontal system are suppressing daytime heating over Warsaw, keeping forecast highs clustered around 20–22°C on August 19 according to recent European model runs and Polish meteorological guidance. Scattered showers expected late in the day further limit solar insolation and evaporative cooling, while light-to-moderate winds enhance mixing that prevents localized spikes. These conditions align with the market’s strongest implied probability on 21°C, followed by 20°C, as traders incorporate short-range ensemble consensus that shows little support for readings above 23°C or below 19°C under the current synoptic pattern. New model updates and observational data over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,329วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 19, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Cooler northwesterly flow and increasing cloud cover ahead of a frontal system are suppressing daytime heating over Warsaw, keeping forecast highs clustered around 20–22°C on August 19 according to recent European model runs and Polish meteorological guidance. Scattered showers expected late in the day further limit solar insolation and evaporative cooling, while light-to-moderate winds enhance mixing that prevents localized spikes. These conditions align with the market’s strongest implied probability on 21°C, followed by 20°C, as traders incorporate short-range ensemble consensus that shows little support for readings above 23°C or below 19°C under the current synoptic pattern. New model updates and observational data over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,329วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 19, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Cooler northwesterly flow and increasing cloud cover ahead of a frontal system are suppressing daytime heating over Warsaw, keeping forecast highs clustered around 20–22°C on August 19 according to recent European model runs and Polish meteorological guidance. Scattered showers expected late in the day further limit solar insolation and evaporative cooling, while light-to-moderate winds enhance mixing that prevents localized spikes. These conditions align with the market’s strongest implied probability on 21°C, followed by 20°C, as traders incorporate short-range ensemble consensus that shows little support for readings above 23°C or below 19°C under the current synoptic pattern. New model updates and observational data over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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