Recent forecasts from sources including the Spanish meteorological service and international models indicate Madrid's maximum temperature on August 17 will likely reach 36–38 °C under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light winds that limit cooling. This aligns with the market's strong preference for 37 °C, reflecting typical mid-August climatology for the region (historical averages near 32–34 °C) plus a modest positive anomaly from seasonal warmth. Low precipitation risk and stable steering patterns reduce the chance of cooler advection or cloud cover that could cap readings at 36 °C or below, while extreme outliers above 39 °C remain unlikely without a sudden heat dome intensification. Updated model runs in the next 24 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Madrid on August 17?
Highest temperature in Madrid on August 17?
37°C 54%
38°C 21%
36°C 18%
35°C 4%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 17, 2026
32°C or below
1%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C
4%
36°C
18%
37°C
54%
38°C
21%
39°C
3%
40°C
1%
41°C
<1%
42°C or higher
<1%
37°C 54%
38°C 21%
36°C 18%
35°C 4%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 17, 2026
32°C or below
$25 ปริมาณ
1%
33°C
$25 ปริมาณ
1%
34°C
$34 ปริมาณ
1%
35°C
$168 ปริมาณ
4%
36°C
$1,216 ปริมาณ
18%
37°C
$876 ปริมาณ
54%
38°C
$555 ปริมาณ
21%
39°C
$61 ปริมาณ
3%
40°C
$16 ปริมาณ
1%
41°C
$26 ปริมาณ
<1%
42°C or higher
$95 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including the Spanish meteorological service and international models indicate Madrid's maximum temperature on August 17 will likely reach 36–38 °C under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light winds that limit cooling. This aligns with the market's strong preference for 37 °C, reflecting typical mid-August climatology for the region (historical averages near 32–34 °C) plus a modest positive anomaly from seasonal warmth. Low precipitation risk and stable steering patterns reduce the chance of cooler advection or cloud cover that could cap readings at 36 °C or below, while extreme outliers above 39 °C remain unlikely without a sudden heat dome intensification. Updated model runs in the next 24 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 15, 2026, 4:06 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,097วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 15, 2026, 4:06 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including the Spanish meteorological service and international models indicate Madrid's maximum temperature on August 17 will likely reach 36–38 °C under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light winds that limit cooling. This aligns with the market's strong preference for 37 °C, reflecting typical mid-August climatology for the region (historical averages near 32–34 °C) plus a modest positive anomaly from seasonal warmth. Low precipitation risk and stable steering patterns reduce the chance of cooler advection or cloud cover that could cap readings at 36 °C or below, while extreme outliers above 39 °C remain unlikely without a sudden heat dome intensification. Updated model runs in the next 24 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,097วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 15, 2026, 4:06 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources including the Spanish meteorological service and international models indicate Madrid's maximum temperature on August 17 will likely reach 36–38 °C under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light winds that limit cooling. This aligns with the market's strong preference for 37 °C, reflecting typical mid-August climatology for the region (historical averages near 32–34 °C) plus a modest positive anomaly from seasonal warmth. Low precipitation risk and stable steering patterns reduce the chance of cooler advection or cloud cover that could cap readings at 36 °C or below, while extreme outliers above 39 °C remain unlikely without a sudden heat dome intensification. Updated model runs in the next 24 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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