Forecast models from the National Weather Service and other agencies indicate a high near 76°F for Los Angeles on August 15, driven by a persistent marine layer with morning clouds giving way to gradual afternoon clearing and moderate onshore flow. This setup limits daytime heating compared to typical mid-August conditions, keeping maximum temperatures in the mid-70s rather than the seasonal 82–85°F range. Trader consensus heavily favors the 76–77°F bin at 67.5% implied probability, reflecting alignment across short-range guidance and the absence of stronger offshore winds or clear skies that could push readings higher. Resolution will depend on the official high reported by the Los Angeles International Airport station, with any late forecast adjustments from updated model runs likely to influence remaining trading activity before the market closes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Los Angeles on August 15?
76-77°F 68%
74-75°F 24%
78-79°F 8%
72-73°F 3%
65°F or below
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
3%
74-75°F
24%
76-77°F
68%
78-79°F
8%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
<1%
84°F or higher
<1%
76-77°F 68%
74-75°F 24%
78-79°F 8%
72-73°F 3%
65°F or below
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
3%
74-75°F
24%
76-77°F
68%
78-79°F
8%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
<1%
84°F or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 13, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the National Weather Service and other agencies indicate a high near 76°F for Los Angeles on August 15, driven by a persistent marine layer with morning clouds giving way to gradual afternoon clearing and moderate onshore flow. This setup limits daytime heating compared to typical mid-August conditions, keeping maximum temperatures in the mid-70s rather than the seasonal 82–85°F range. Trader consensus heavily favors the 76–77°F bin at 67.5% implied probability, reflecting alignment across short-range guidance and the absence of stronger offshore winds or clear skies that could push readings higher. Resolution will depend on the official high reported by the Los Angeles International Airport station, with any late forecast adjustments from updated model runs likely to influence remaining trading activity before the market closes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว


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