Recent forecast updates from models show a moderating pattern over Paris after mid-August heat, with increased cloud cover, lighter northerly winds, and potential showers supporting overnight radiative cooling to a minimum near 17°C on August 16. Official guidance highlights a daytime high around 28–29°C but emphasizes the low's sensitivity to boundary-layer moisture and wind speeds, which could keep readings at 18–19°C or dip slightly lower. This aligns with typical late-summer climatology for the Paris basin while reflecting the current consensus across ensemble runs, positioning the 19°C and 18°C-or-below bins as the strongest market-implied outcomes ahead of final station measurements.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Paris on August 16?
Lowest temperature in Paris on August 16?
19°C 45%
18°C or below 35%
20°C 15%
21°C 10%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 16, 2026
18°C or below
35%
19°C
45%
20°C
15%
21°C
10%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
19°C 45%
18°C or below 35%
20°C 15%
21°C 10%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 16, 2026
18°C or below
$1,599 ปริมาณ
35%
19°C
$812 ปริมาณ
45%
20°C
$143 ปริมาณ
15%
21°C
$557 ปริมาณ
10%
22°C
$46 ปริมาณ
1%
23°C
$71 ปริมาณ
1%
24°C
$33 ปริมาณ
<1%
25°C
$28 ปริมาณ
<1%
26°C
$28 ปริมาณ
<1%
27°C
$28 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C or higher
$28 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast updates from models show a moderating pattern over Paris after mid-August heat, with increased cloud cover, lighter northerly winds, and potential showers supporting overnight radiative cooling to a minimum near 17°C on August 16. Official guidance highlights a daytime high around 28–29°C but emphasizes the low's sensitivity to boundary-layer moisture and wind speeds, which could keep readings at 18–19°C or dip slightly lower. This aligns with typical late-summer climatology for the Paris basin while reflecting the current consensus across ensemble runs, positioning the 19°C and 18°C-or-below bins as the strongest market-implied outcomes ahead of final station measurements.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 14, 2026, 1:28 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,375วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 14, 2026, 1:28 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast updates from models show a moderating pattern over Paris after mid-August heat, with increased cloud cover, lighter northerly winds, and potential showers supporting overnight radiative cooling to a minimum near 17°C on August 16. Official guidance highlights a daytime high around 28–29°C but emphasizes the low's sensitivity to boundary-layer moisture and wind speeds, which could keep readings at 18–19°C or dip slightly lower. This aligns with typical late-summer climatology for the Paris basin while reflecting the current consensus across ensemble runs, positioning the 19°C and 18°C-or-below bins as the strongest market-implied outcomes ahead of final station measurements.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,375วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 14, 2026, 1:28 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast updates from models show a moderating pattern over Paris after mid-August heat, with increased cloud cover, lighter northerly winds, and potential showers supporting overnight radiative cooling to a minimum near 17°C on August 16. Official guidance highlights a daytime high around 28–29°C but emphasizes the low's sensitivity to boundary-layer moisture and wind speeds, which could keep readings at 18–19°C or dip slightly lower. This aligns with typical late-summer climatology for the Paris basin while reflecting the current consensus across ensemble runs, positioning the 19°C and 18°C-or-below bins as the strongest market-implied outcomes ahead of final station measurements.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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