**Forecast consensus points to a peak near 35–36°C on August 16 as the dominant driver of trader positioning.** Guangzhou’s subtropical monsoon climate keeps daytime highs typically around 33–35°C in mid-August, with high humidity and frequent afternoon thunderstorms that can either suppress or briefly boost maximum readings depending on timing and cloud cover. Recent model guidance shows thundery showers and light winds, consistent with climatological norms for the period and supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 35°C (25.5%) and 36°C (45.0%). Lower probabilities for 37°C+ reflect the cooling influence of expected precipitation, while sub-34°C outcomes remain discounted absent an unusual surge in cloudiness or stronger onshore flow. Updated National Meteorological Center or local station data on the 15th–16th will provide the final observational benchmark for resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Guangzhou on August 16?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on August 16?
36°C 45%
35°C 27%
37°C 15%
34°C 10%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 16, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
3%
34°C
10%
35°C
27%
36°C
45%
37°C
15%
38°C
2%
39°C or higher
1%
36°C 45%
35°C 27%
37°C 15%
34°C 10%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 16, 2026
29°C or below
$367 ปริมาณ
<1%
30°C
$293 ปริมาณ
<1%
31°C
$416 ปริมาณ
<1%
32°C
$553 ปริมาณ
1%
33°C
$380 ปริมาณ
3%
34°C
$273 ปริมาณ
10%
35°C
$550 ปริมาณ
27%
36°C
$1,962 ปริมาณ
45%
37°C
$809 ปริมาณ
15%
38°C
$1,735 ปริมาณ
2%
39°C or higher
$332 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus points to a peak near 35–36°C on August 16 as the dominant driver of trader positioning.** Guangzhou’s subtropical monsoon climate keeps daytime highs typically around 33–35°C in mid-August, with high humidity and frequent afternoon thunderstorms that can either suppress or briefly boost maximum readings depending on timing and cloud cover. Recent model guidance shows thundery showers and light winds, consistent with climatological norms for the period and supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 35°C (25.5%) and 36°C (45.0%). Lower probabilities for 37°C+ reflect the cooling influence of expected precipitation, while sub-34°C outcomes remain discounted absent an unusual surge in cloudiness or stronger onshore flow. Updated National Meteorological Center or local station data on the 15th–16th will provide the final observational benchmark for resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$7,670วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus points to a peak near 35–36°C on August 16 as the dominant driver of trader positioning.** Guangzhou’s subtropical monsoon climate keeps daytime highs typically around 33–35°C in mid-August, with high humidity and frequent afternoon thunderstorms that can either suppress or briefly boost maximum readings depending on timing and cloud cover. Recent model guidance shows thundery showers and light winds, consistent with climatological norms for the period and supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 35°C (25.5%) and 36°C (45.0%). Lower probabilities for 37°C+ reflect the cooling influence of expected precipitation, while sub-34°C outcomes remain discounted absent an unusual surge in cloudiness or stronger onshore flow. Updated National Meteorological Center or local station data on the 15th–16th will provide the final observational benchmark for resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$7,670วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus points to a peak near 35–36°C on August 16 as the dominant driver of trader positioning.** Guangzhou’s subtropical monsoon climate keeps daytime highs typically around 33–35°C in mid-August, with high humidity and frequent afternoon thunderstorms that can either suppress or briefly boost maximum readings depending on timing and cloud cover. Recent model guidance shows thundery showers and light winds, consistent with climatological norms for the period and supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 35°C (25.5%) and 36°C (45.0%). Lower probabilities for 37°C+ reflect the cooling influence of expected precipitation, while sub-34°C outcomes remain discounted absent an unusual surge in cloudiness or stronger onshore flow. Updated National Meteorological Center or local station data on the 15th–16th will provide the final observational benchmark for resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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