Recent forecasts for Shenzhen point to a maximum temperature near 32–34°C on August 15, 2026, with the market’s evenly distributed 19% odds across 30–34°C reflecting model spread in short-range guidance. Primary drivers include the strength and position of the western Pacific subtropical high, which modulates southerly flow and solar insolation, alongside variable cloud cover and scattered thunderstorm activity tied to lingering monsoon moisture and residual influences from Typhoon Dolphin. Higher outcomes (35°C+) would require clearer skies and stronger ridge support, while lower readings hinge on increased convective cooling or onshore winds. Historical mid-August climatology shows typical highs of 31–33°C, underscoring how small shifts in boundary-layer moisture or timing of diurnal peaks create the current tight clustering of trader-implied probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Shenzhen on August 15?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on August 15?
32°C 26%
33°C 20%
31°C 15%
34°C 13%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 15, 2026
27°C or below
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
11%
31°C
15%
32°C
26%
33°C
20%
34°C
13%
35°C
6%
36°C
7%
37°C or higher
7%
32°C 26%
33°C 20%
31°C 15%
34°C 13%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 15, 2026
27°C or below
$12 ปริมาณ
1%
28°C
$12 ปริมาณ
1%
29°C
$59 ปริมาณ
3%
30°C
$0 ปริมาณ
11%
31°C
$0 ปริมาณ
15%
32°C
$0 ปริมาณ
26%
33°C
$0 ปริมาณ
20%
34°C
$5 ปริมาณ
13%
35°C
$0 ปริมาณ
6%
36°C
$5 ปริมาณ
7%
37°C or higher
$12 ปริมาณ
7%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Shenzhen point to a maximum temperature near 32–34°C on August 15, 2026, with the market’s evenly distributed 19% odds across 30–34°C reflecting model spread in short-range guidance. Primary drivers include the strength and position of the western Pacific subtropical high, which modulates southerly flow and solar insolation, alongside variable cloud cover and scattered thunderstorm activity tied to lingering monsoon moisture and residual influences from Typhoon Dolphin. Higher outcomes (35°C+) would require clearer skies and stronger ridge support, while lower readings hinge on increased convective cooling or onshore winds. Historical mid-August climatology shows typical highs of 31–33°C, underscoring how small shifts in boundary-layer moisture or timing of diurnal peaks create the current tight clustering of trader-implied probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$105วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Shenzhen point to a maximum temperature near 32–34°C on August 15, 2026, with the market’s evenly distributed 19% odds across 30–34°C reflecting model spread in short-range guidance. Primary drivers include the strength and position of the western Pacific subtropical high, which modulates southerly flow and solar insolation, alongside variable cloud cover and scattered thunderstorm activity tied to lingering monsoon moisture and residual influences from Typhoon Dolphin. Higher outcomes (35°C+) would require clearer skies and stronger ridge support, while lower readings hinge on increased convective cooling or onshore winds. Historical mid-August climatology shows typical highs of 31–33°C, underscoring how small shifts in boundary-layer moisture or timing of diurnal peaks create the current tight clustering of trader-implied probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$105วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Shenzhen point to a maximum temperature near 32–34°C on August 15, 2026, with the market’s evenly distributed 19% odds across 30–34°C reflecting model spread in short-range guidance. Primary drivers include the strength and position of the western Pacific subtropical high, which modulates southerly flow and solar insolation, alongside variable cloud cover and scattered thunderstorm activity tied to lingering monsoon moisture and residual influences from Typhoon Dolphin. Higher outcomes (35°C+) would require clearer skies and stronger ridge support, while lower readings hinge on increased convective cooling or onshore winds. Historical mid-August climatology shows typical highs of 31–33°C, underscoring how small shifts in boundary-layer moisture or timing of diurnal peaks create the current tight clustering of trader-implied probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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