Latest Environment Canada and numerical weather prediction guidance indicate a daytime maximum of 27–28°C for Toronto on August 12 under mostly sunny skies with northwest winds near 20 km/h and a humidex near 33. Subtle differences in afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and the precise timing of any weak frontal passage create the narrow spread between these outcomes in model runs. Historical August normals near 26°C provide baseline context, while current ensemble spread remains modest given the short lead time. Traders are weighting the consensus forecast heavily but assigning meaningful probability to minor downward revisions if daytime heating is tempered by increased cloudiness.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Toronto on August 12?
Highest temperature in Toronto on August 12?
27°C 35%
28°C 27%
26°C 17%
29°C 10%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 12, 2026
24°C or below
3%
25°C
3%
26°C
17%
27°C
35%
28°C
27%
29°C
10%
30°C
4%
31°C
2%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
27°C 35%
28°C 27%
26°C 17%
29°C 10%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 12, 2026
24°C or below
$286 ปริมาณ
3%
25°C
$83 ปริมาณ
3%
26°C
$379 ปริมาณ
17%
27°C
$2,922 ปริมาณ
35%
28°C
$885 ปริมาณ
27%
29°C
$646 ปริมาณ
10%
30°C
$291 ปริมาณ
4%
31°C
$93 ปริมาณ
2%
32°C
$582 ปริมาณ
<1%
33°C
$53 ปริมาณ
<1%
34°C or higher
$207 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest Environment Canada and numerical weather prediction guidance indicate a daytime maximum of 27–28°C for Toronto on August 12 under mostly sunny skies with northwest winds near 20 km/h and a humidex near 33. Subtle differences in afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and the precise timing of any weak frontal passage create the narrow spread between these outcomes in model runs. Historical August normals near 26°C provide baseline context, while current ensemble spread remains modest given the short lead time. Traders are weighting the consensus forecast heavily but assigning meaningful probability to minor downward revisions if daytime heating is tempered by increased cloudiness.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$6,105วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 12, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest Environment Canada and numerical weather prediction guidance indicate a daytime maximum of 27–28°C for Toronto on August 12 under mostly sunny skies with northwest winds near 20 km/h and a humidex near 33. Subtle differences in afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and the precise timing of any weak frontal passage create the narrow spread between these outcomes in model runs. Historical August normals near 26°C provide baseline context, while current ensemble spread remains modest given the short lead time. Traders are weighting the consensus forecast heavily but assigning meaningful probability to minor downward revisions if daytime heating is tempered by increased cloudiness.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$6,105วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 12, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Environment Canada and numerical weather prediction guidance indicate a daytime maximum of 27–28°C for Toronto on August 12 under mostly sunny skies with northwest winds near 20 km/h and a humidex near 33. Subtle differences in afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and the precise timing of any weak frontal passage create the narrow spread between these outcomes in model runs. Historical August normals near 26°C provide baseline context, while current ensemble spread remains modest given the short lead time. Traders are weighting the consensus forecast heavily but assigning meaningful probability to minor downward revisions if daytime heating is tempered by increased cloudiness.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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