Trader consensus on the lowest Hong Kong temperature for August 11 centers on 28–30 °C amid subtropical summer conditions and a seasonal forecast from the Hong Kong Observatory for normal to above-normal readings. Persistent high humidity, limited nocturnal radiative cooling under cloudy skies, and light southerly flow tied to regional monsoon patterns reduce the chance of deeper drops, while urban heat-island effects and recent model runs favor minima near 28–29 °C. Recent observations, including a 26 °C low on August 6, illustrate variability driven by showers or wind shifts that can alter overnight temperatures by 1–2 °C. Updated numerical guidance and Observatory briefings before the 11th will refine these probabilities ahead of official resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 11?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 11?
29°C 40%
28°C 38%
30°C 27%
27°C 17%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 11, 2026
24°C or below
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
4%
27°C
17%
28°C
35%
29°C
51%
30°C
27%
31°C
12%
32°C
8%
33°C
15%
34°C or higher
1%
29°C 40%
28°C 38%
30°C 27%
27°C 17%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 11, 2026
24°C or below
$34 ปริมาณ
1%
25°C
$0 ปริมาณ
1%
26°C
$0 ปริมาณ
4%
27°C
$0 ปริมาณ
17%
28°C
$5 ปริมาณ
35%
29°C
$15 ปริมาณ
51%
30°C
$0 ปริมาณ
27%
31°C
$0 ปริมาณ
12%
32°C
$22 ปริมาณ
8%
33°C
$5 ปริมาณ
15%
34°C or higher
$22 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on the lowest Hong Kong temperature for August 11 centers on 28–30 °C amid subtropical summer conditions and a seasonal forecast from the Hong Kong Observatory for normal to above-normal readings. Persistent high humidity, limited nocturnal radiative cooling under cloudy skies, and light southerly flow tied to regional monsoon patterns reduce the chance of deeper drops, while urban heat-island effects and recent model runs favor minima near 28–29 °C. Recent observations, including a 26 °C low on August 6, illustrate variability driven by showers or wind shifts that can alter overnight temperatures by 1–2 °C. Updated numerical guidance and Observatory briefings before the 11th will refine these probabilities ahead of official resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$102วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 11, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on the lowest Hong Kong temperature for August 11 centers on 28–30 °C amid subtropical summer conditions and a seasonal forecast from the Hong Kong Observatory for normal to above-normal readings. Persistent high humidity, limited nocturnal radiative cooling under cloudy skies, and light southerly flow tied to regional monsoon patterns reduce the chance of deeper drops, while urban heat-island effects and recent model runs favor minima near 28–29 °C. Recent observations, including a 26 °C low on August 6, illustrate variability driven by showers or wind shifts that can alter overnight temperatures by 1–2 °C. Updated numerical guidance and Observatory briefings before the 11th will refine these probabilities ahead of official resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$102วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 11, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on the lowest Hong Kong temperature for August 11 centers on 28–30 °C amid subtropical summer conditions and a seasonal forecast from the Hong Kong Observatory for normal to above-normal readings. Persistent high humidity, limited nocturnal radiative cooling under cloudy skies, and light southerly flow tied to regional monsoon patterns reduce the chance of deeper drops, while urban heat-island effects and recent model runs favor minima near 28–29 °C. Recent observations, including a 26 °C low on August 6, illustrate variability driven by showers or wind shifts that can alter overnight temperatures by 1–2 °C. Updated numerical guidance and Observatory briefings before the 11th will refine these probabilities ahead of official resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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