**Trader consensus around 36°C (45.5% implied probability) for Madrid’s August 9 maximum reflects current model guidance showing highs near 35–37°C amid persistent summer warmth.** Official AEMET forecasts list a 35°C high for the day, following recent observations of 37°C peaks earlier in the month under clear, dry conditions typical of Madrid’s continental climate. Long-term August averages near 32–34°C provide climatological context, but elevated baseline temperatures this season—linked to broader European heat patterns—support the slight upward shift traders price in. Key variables include minimal cloud cover, light winds, and any late adjustments in numerical weather prediction runs, with resolution hinging on the official 24-hour maximum recorded at the city’s primary station. Updated model outputs over the next 48 hours will likely refine these market-implied odds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Madrid on August 9?
Highest temperature in Madrid on August 9?
36°C 47%
37°C 24%
35°C 11%
38°C 7%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 9, 2026
32°C or below
2%
33°C
1%
34°C
5%
35°C
11%
36°C
47%
37°C
24%
38°C
7%
39°C
1%
40°C
2%
41°C
2%
42°C or higher
2%
36°C 47%
37°C 24%
35°C 11%
38°C 7%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 9, 2026
32°C or below
$12 ปริมาณ
2%
33°C
$39 ปริมาณ
1%
34°C
$1 ปริมาณ
5%
35°C
$30 ปริมาณ
11%
36°C
$61 ปริมาณ
47%
37°C
$43 ปริมาณ
24%
38°C
$6 ปริมาณ
7%
39°C
$18 ปริมาณ
1%
40°C
$18 ปริมาณ
2%
41°C
$12 ปริมาณ
2%
42°C or higher
$12 ปริมาณ
2%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus around 36°C (45.5% implied probability) for Madrid’s August 9 maximum reflects current model guidance showing highs near 35–37°C amid persistent summer warmth.** Official AEMET forecasts list a 35°C high for the day, following recent observations of 37°C peaks earlier in the month under clear, dry conditions typical of Madrid’s continental climate. Long-term August averages near 32–34°C provide climatological context, but elevated baseline temperatures this season—linked to broader European heat patterns—support the slight upward shift traders price in. Key variables include minimal cloud cover, light winds, and any late adjustments in numerical weather prediction runs, with resolution hinging on the official 24-hour maximum recorded at the city’s primary station. Updated model outputs over the next 48 hours will likely refine these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$252วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus around 36°C (45.5% implied probability) for Madrid’s August 9 maximum reflects current model guidance showing highs near 35–37°C amid persistent summer warmth.** Official AEMET forecasts list a 35°C high for the day, following recent observations of 37°C peaks earlier in the month under clear, dry conditions typical of Madrid’s continental climate. Long-term August averages near 32–34°C provide climatological context, but elevated baseline temperatures this season—linked to broader European heat patterns—support the slight upward shift traders price in. Key variables include minimal cloud cover, light winds, and any late adjustments in numerical weather prediction runs, with resolution hinging on the official 24-hour maximum recorded at the city’s primary station. Updated model outputs over the next 48 hours will likely refine these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$252วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus around 36°C (45.5% implied probability) for Madrid’s August 9 maximum reflects current model guidance showing highs near 35–37°C amid persistent summer warmth.** Official AEMET forecasts list a 35°C high for the day, following recent observations of 37°C peaks earlier in the month under clear, dry conditions typical of Madrid’s continental climate. Long-term August averages near 32–34°C provide climatological context, but elevated baseline temperatures this season—linked to broader European heat patterns—support the slight upward shift traders price in. Key variables include minimal cloud cover, light winds, and any late adjustments in numerical weather prediction runs, with resolution hinging on the official 24-hour maximum recorded at the city’s primary station. Updated model outputs over the next 48 hours will likely refine these market-implied odds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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