Recent model consensus from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles points to a highest temperature of 32–34°C in Chengdu on August 7, 2026, driven by typical late-summer subtropical conditions with high humidity, light winds, and scattered showers that limit daytime heating. Long-term August climatology shows average daily highs near 31–33°C, and current forecasts cluster in this range without signals of an intense heat ridge or clear-sky amplification that could push values to 35°C or above. Traders are pricing 33°C and 34°C as the modal outcomes because the latest runs show only modest day-to-day variability and no major forecast shifts in the past 48 hours. Resolution hinges on official station readings, with any last-minute model adjustments or precipitation changes likely to influence final implied probabilities before the market closes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Chengdu on August 7?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on August 7?
33°C 37%
34°C 28%
32°C 15%
31°C 11%
ใหม่
$35,155 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$35,155 ปริมาณ
Aug 7, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
11%
32°C
15%
33°C
37%
34°C
28%
35°C or higher
10%
33°C 37%
34°C 28%
32°C 15%
31°C 11%
ใหม่
$35,155 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$35,155 ปริมาณ
Aug 7, 2026
25°C or below
$1,387 ปริมาณ
<1%
26°C
$2,091 ปริมาณ
<1%
27°C
$2,334 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C
$3,702 ปริมาณ
1%
29°C
$4,257 ปริมาณ
1%
30°C
$2,613 ปริมาณ
3%
31°C
$1,803 ปริมาณ
11%
32°C
$4,609 ปริมาณ
15%
33°C
$4,404 ปริมาณ
37%
34°C
$2,270 ปริมาณ
28%
35°C or higher
$5,685 ปริมาณ
10%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles points to a highest temperature of 32–34°C in Chengdu on August 7, 2026, driven by typical late-summer subtropical conditions with high humidity, light winds, and scattered showers that limit daytime heating. Long-term August climatology shows average daily highs near 31–33°C, and current forecasts cluster in this range without signals of an intense heat ridge or clear-sky amplification that could push values to 35°C or above. Traders are pricing 33°C and 34°C as the modal outcomes because the latest runs show only modest day-to-day variability and no major forecast shifts in the past 48 hours. Resolution hinges on official station readings, with any last-minute model adjustments or precipitation changes likely to influence final implied probabilities before the market closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 5, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$35,155วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 7, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 5, 2026, 12:04 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles points to a highest temperature of 32–34°C in Chengdu on August 7, 2026, driven by typical late-summer subtropical conditions with high humidity, light winds, and scattered showers that limit daytime heating. Long-term August climatology shows average daily highs near 31–33°C, and current forecasts cluster in this range without signals of an intense heat ridge or clear-sky amplification that could push values to 35°C or above. Traders are pricing 33°C and 34°C as the modal outcomes because the latest runs show only modest day-to-day variability and no major forecast shifts in the past 48 hours. Resolution hinges on official station readings, with any last-minute model adjustments or precipitation changes likely to influence final implied probabilities before the market closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$35,155วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 7, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 5, 2026, 12:04 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles points to a highest temperature of 32–34°C in Chengdu on August 7, 2026, driven by typical late-summer subtropical conditions with high humidity, light winds, and scattered showers that limit daytime heating. Long-term August climatology shows average daily highs near 31–33°C, and current forecasts cluster in this range without signals of an intense heat ridge or clear-sky amplification that could push values to 35°C or above. Traders are pricing 33°C and 34°C as the modal outcomes because the latest runs show only modest day-to-day variability and no major forecast shifts in the past 48 hours. Resolution hinges on official station readings, with any last-minute model adjustments or precipitation changes likely to influence final implied probabilities before the market closes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย