Recent meteorological forecasts for Istanbul on August 8, 2026, center on daily maxima of 28–30°C under typical summer high-pressure patterns and moderate northeasterly Etesian winds that promote mixing and limit extreme surface heating. Mostly sunny conditions with low precipitation and humidity around 50–70% support steady diurnal warming, while the Bosphorus and Black Sea proximity introduces cooling sea-breeze influences that cap peaks near historical August averages of 28–29°C. Minor model differences in cloud timing, wind strength, and exact thermal advection explain the tight market split between 28°C and 29°C as leading outcomes, with higher values requiring stronger subsidence or reduced ventilation unlikely under current guidance. Updated short-range model runs from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Istanbul on August 8?
28°C 41%
29°C 36%
27°C 12%
30°C 11%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
12%
28°C
41%
29°C
36%
30°C
11%
31°C
2%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
28°C 41%
29°C 36%
27°C 12%
30°C 11%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
12%
28°C
41%
29°C
36%
30°C
11%
31°C
2%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 6, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological forecasts for Istanbul on August 8, 2026, center on daily maxima of 28–30°C under typical summer high-pressure patterns and moderate northeasterly Etesian winds that promote mixing and limit extreme surface heating. Mostly sunny conditions with low precipitation and humidity around 50–70% support steady diurnal warming, while the Bosphorus and Black Sea proximity introduces cooling sea-breeze influences that cap peaks near historical August averages of 28–29°C. Minor model differences in cloud timing, wind strength, and exact thermal advection explain the tight market split between 28°C and 29°C as leading outcomes, with higher values requiring stronger subsidence or reduced ventilation unlikely under current guidance. Updated short-range model runs from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว

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