Recent ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and BBC Weather, alongside KNMI guidance, position maximum temperatures in Amsterdam on August 9 near 28–30°C as the leading outcomes, driven by a transition from early-month heat under high pressure to moderating westerly flow with sunny intervals and lighter winds. This setup favors peak readings around 29°C, consistent with the market-implied 37% probability, while limiting upside potential from continental warming. Model consensus shows low precipitation risk and stable steering patterns that align with historical August variability of 21–25°C averages, though short-range updates could shift odds if high pressure strengthens. Traders are weighting these near-term model runs heavily given the two-day horizon to resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Amsterdam on August 9?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on August 9?
29°C 37%
28°C 28%
30°C 14%
27°C 7%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 9, 2026
24°C or below
2%
25°C
2%
26°C
3%
27°C
7%
28°C
28%
29°C
37%
30°C
14%
31°C
6%
32°C
2%
33°C
1%
34°C or higher
<1%
29°C 37%
28°C 28%
30°C 14%
27°C 7%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 9, 2026
24°C or below
$516 ปริมาณ
2%
25°C
$4 ปริมาณ
2%
26°C
$50 ปริมาณ
3%
27°C
$31 ปริมาณ
7%
28°C
$23 ปริมาณ
28%
29°C
$50 ปริมาณ
37%
30°C
$1 ปริมาณ
14%
31°C
$10 ปริมาณ
6%
32°C
$27 ปริมาณ
2%
33°C
$11 ปริมาณ
1%
34°C or higher
$26 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and BBC Weather, alongside KNMI guidance, position maximum temperatures in Amsterdam on August 9 near 28–30°C as the leading outcomes, driven by a transition from early-month heat under high pressure to moderating westerly flow with sunny intervals and lighter winds. This setup favors peak readings around 29°C, consistent with the market-implied 37% probability, while limiting upside potential from continental warming. Model consensus shows low precipitation risk and stable steering patterns that align with historical August variability of 21–25°C averages, though short-range updates could shift odds if high pressure strengthens. Traders are weighting these near-term model runs heavily given the two-day horizon to resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 7, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$749วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 7, 2026, 12:04 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and BBC Weather, alongside KNMI guidance, position maximum temperatures in Amsterdam on August 9 near 28–30°C as the leading outcomes, driven by a transition from early-month heat under high pressure to moderating westerly flow with sunny intervals and lighter winds. This setup favors peak readings around 29°C, consistent with the market-implied 37% probability, while limiting upside potential from continental warming. Model consensus shows low precipitation risk and stable steering patterns that align with historical August variability of 21–25°C averages, though short-range updates could shift odds if high pressure strengthens. Traders are weighting these near-term model runs heavily given the two-day horizon to resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$749วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 7, 2026, 12:04 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and BBC Weather, alongside KNMI guidance, position maximum temperatures in Amsterdam on August 9 near 28–30°C as the leading outcomes, driven by a transition from early-month heat under high pressure to moderating westerly flow with sunny intervals and lighter winds. This setup favors peak readings around 29°C, consistent with the market-implied 37% probability, while limiting upside potential from continental warming. Model consensus shows low precipitation risk and stable steering patterns that align with historical August variability of 21–25°C averages, though short-range updates could shift odds if high pressure strengthens. Traders are weighting these near-term model runs heavily given the two-day horizon to resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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